Margarine - Lithuania | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$49.88m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.03% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$18.52 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 8.69m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 5.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 2.51kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in Lithuania is witnessing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences toward healthier options, competition from butter alternatives, and economic uncertainties affecting purchasing power.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Lithuania are increasingly gravitating towards plant-based and organic food options, driven by a growing awareness of health and environmental sustainability. This shift is reflected in the rising popularity of margarine products that emphasize natural ingredients and lower trans fats. Additionally, younger demographics, particularly millennials and Gen Z, are prioritizing transparency and ethical sourcing in their food choices, leading to a demand for brands that align with these values. As lifestyles become more health-conscious, the trend towards innovative spreads that offer functional benefits, such as added vitamins or omega-3 fatty acids, is also on the rise.

Trends in the market: In Lithuania, the margarine market within the oils and fats sector is experiencing a significant shift towards health-conscious products, with consumers favoring those that are plant-based and free from artificial additives. The increasing awareness of nutritional benefits is driving demand for margarine enriched with omega-3 fatty acids and vitamins. Furthermore, ethical sourcing and transparency are becoming critical factors for consumers, particularly among younger generations. This trend presents opportunities for brands to innovate and differentiate themselves, while also compelling industry stakeholders to adapt their sourcing practices and product formulations to meet evolving consumer expectations.

Local special circumstances: In Lithuania, the margarine market within the oils and fats sector is heavily influenced by the country's rich agricultural landscape and strong emphasis on sustainability. Local consumers exhibit a preference for products made from regional ingredients, which resonates with their cultural values of supporting local farmers. Additionally, stringent EU regulations on food labeling and health claims enhance consumer trust, pushing brands to prioritize transparency in sourcing and production. This regulatory environment encourages innovation towards healthier, locally-sourced margarines, aligning with the growing demand for plant-based and functional food options.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The margarine market in Lithuania is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the country's economic stability, consumer purchasing power, and agricultural productivity. As Lithuania's economy continues to recover and grow, rising disposable incomes enable consumers to seek higher-quality, locally-sourced margarine options. Furthermore, the emphasis on sustainability and eco-friendly practices aligns with global trends toward healthier eating, prompting manufacturers to innovate. Additionally, supportive fiscal policies promoting local agriculture and investment in food production enhance market resilience, while fluctuations in global commodity prices for oils and fats can impact production costs and pricing strategies.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.