Edible Oils - Northern Africa | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Edible Oils market amounts to US$2.84bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.92% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$35bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$10.90 are generated in 2024.
In the Edible Oils market, volume is expected to amount to 466.70m kg by 2029. The Edible Oils market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Edible Oils market is expected to amount to 1.61kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Edible Oils market covers any type of oil that is extracted from plants and nuts and is used for cooking and food preparation.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Olive oil
Sunflower oil
Other edible oils (e.g. palm, soybean, coconut oil, canola oil, rapeseed oil, sesame oil, soybean oil)
Cooking oil blends

Butter
Margarine
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Edible Oils Market in Northern Africa is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating raw material prices, changing consumer preferences, and competition from alternative fat sources, which are hindering significant advancements in the sector.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Northern Africa are increasingly prioritizing health and wellness, resulting in a rising demand for healthier edible oil options, such as olive and avocado oils, over traditional palm and soybean oils. This shift is influenced by a growing awareness of the health benefits associated with unsaturated fats and the Mediterranean diet. Additionally, younger demographics are gravitating towards organic and locally-sourced products, reflecting a broader trend of sustainability and authenticity in food choices, which is reshaping the edible oils landscape.

Trends in the market: In Northern Africa, the Edible Oils market is experiencing a significant shift towards healthier options, with consumers increasingly favoring olive and avocado oils over conventional palm and soybean oils. This trend is driven by heightened awareness of the health benefits linked to unsaturated fats and the principles of the Mediterranean diet. Additionally, younger consumers are showing a preference for organic and locally-sourced products, emphasizing sustainability and authenticity. This evolving landscape presents both challenges and opportunities for industry stakeholders, necessitating adaptation in product offerings and marketing strategies to meet the changing demands.

Local special circumstances: In Northern Africa, the Edible Oils market is shaped by a rich culinary heritage that emphasizes the use of local ingredients, with olive oil being a staple in many traditional dishes. The region's diverse climate allows for the cultivation of various oil-producing crops, enhancing the availability of local oils. Additionally, regulatory frameworks promoting organic farming practices are gaining traction, further driving the demand for healthier, sustainably sourced oils. Cultural preferences for authenticity and traditional production methods significantly influence consumer choices, creating a unique market dynamic.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Edible Oils market in Northern Africa is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuations in global oil prices, trade policies, and regional agricultural productivity. Economic growth in the region, driven by agricultural investments and improved infrastructure, supports the expansion of oil production and distribution. Additionally, currency stability and inflation rates directly impact consumer purchasing power and oil pricing. National policies promoting sustainable agriculture and local sourcing are enhancing market resilience, while increasing health awareness among consumers is driving demand for high-quality, organic edible oils. These factors collectively shape the dynamics of the market, aligning with global trends towards health-conscious consumption.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.