Oils & Fats - Northern Africa

Northern Africa

Highlights

Revenue in the Oils & Fats market amounts to US$5.96bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.98% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$46bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$22.82 are generated in 2024.
In the Oils & Fats market, volume is expected to amount to 815.20m kg by 2029. The Oils & Fats market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.0% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Oils & Fats market is expected to amount to 2.8kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureReportsMethodology

The Oils & Fats Market in Northern Africa is witnessing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating raw material prices, changing consumer preferences towards healthier options, and competition from alternative fat sources, which are reshaping market dynamics.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Northern Africa are shifting towards healthier dietary choices, leading to an increased demand for oils perceived as beneficial, such as olive oil and avocado oil. This trend is influenced by a growing awareness of nutrition and wellness, especially among younger demographics who prioritize health in their food selections. Additionally, traditional cooking methods are being re-evaluated, paving the way for alternatives like plant-based fats that align with modern lifestyle preferences, reflecting a blend of cultural heritage and contemporary health consciousness.

Trends in the market: In Northern Africa, the Oils & Fats Market is experiencing a notable shift towards healthier oil options, driven by consumer preferences for oils like olive and avocado oil, which are perceived as nutritious. This trend reflects a broader awareness of health and nutrition, particularly among younger consumers who seek to incorporate healthier fats into their diets. Additionally, there is a growing interest in alternative plant-based fats that complement traditional cooking methods while aligning with modern health-conscious lifestyles. For industry stakeholders, these trends signify opportunities for product innovation and marketing strategies that emphasize health benefits, potentially reshaping the competitive landscape.

Local special circumstances: In Northern Africa, the Oils & Fats Market is shaped by unique geographical and cultural factors, including the region's rich agricultural heritage and the prominence of traditional cooking methods. The Mediterranean climate fosters the cultivation of olive trees, making olive oil a staple in local diets, while cultural practices emphasize communal meals that require diverse fat sources. Additionally, regulatory frameworks promoting health and nutrition are encouraging the adoption of healthier oils. These elements create a distinctive market dynamic, where consumer preferences are deeply intertwined with local traditions and agricultural practices.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Oils & Fats Market in Northern Africa is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors, including global commodity prices, national agricultural policies, and trade agreements. Fluctuations in global oil prices can affect local production costs and consumer prices, impacting overall market demand. Additionally, national economic health, characterized by GDP growth and inflation rates, shapes consumer purchasing power and spending habits. Fiscal policies that promote agricultural sustainability and health initiatives are also pivotal, encouraging the use of healthier fats. These elements collectively create a complex landscape where market performance is closely tied to both local economic conditions and global trends in food consumption and health awareness.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.