Butter - Northern Africa | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Butter market amounts to US$1.62bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.64% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$7bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$6.20 are generated in 2024.
In the Butter market, volume is expected to amount to 90.36m kg by 2029. The Butter market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.4% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Butter market is expected to amount to 0.30kg in 2024.

Definition:

Butter is a dairy product made up of several components, such as milk fat, milk proteins, and water. Butter contains a minimum of 80% fat and is widely used in baking and cooking, and as a flavor enhancer for a variety of dishes.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Salted butter
Unsalted butter
Cultured butter
Light butter
Flavored butter

Margarine
Vegetable oils
Other animal fats (e.g. lard)
Clarified butter (Ghee)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Butter Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Northern Africa is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives and economic fluctuations impacting purchasing power among consumers.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Northern Africa are increasingly prioritizing health and wellness, leading to a notable decline in traditional butter consumption. This shift is influenced by a growing awareness of dietary fats and a preference for plant-based alternatives. Additionally, younger demographics are embracing vegan and vegetarian lifestyles, further reducing demand for dairy products. Cultural influences promoting natural and organic food choices are also emerging, as individuals seek products with clean labels and perceived health benefits, reshaping the butter market landscape.

Trends in the market: In Northern Africa, the Butter Market within the Oils & Fats sector is experiencing a significant transformation as health-conscious consumers increasingly turn to plant-based alternatives. This trend is marked by a rise in the popularity of margarine and vegan spreads, as younger generations adopt vegetarian and vegan diets. Furthermore, the demand for organic and clean-label products is reshaping purchasing behaviors, compelling manufacturers to innovate and diversify their offerings. Industry stakeholders must adapt to these shifts by enhancing product transparency and emphasizing health benefits to maintain market relevance and capture the evolving consumer base.

Local special circumstances: In Northern Africa, the Butter Market within the Oils & Fats sector is uniquely influenced by local dietary customs and climate conditions. Traditional cuisines often emphasize rich flavors, resulting in a persistent preference for dairy-based products. However, ongoing droughts and water scarcity are leading to increased prices for traditional butter, pushing consumers toward cost-effective, plant-based alternatives. Additionally, cultural shifts towards health and wellness are prompting demand for organic and locally sourced ingredients, compelling manufacturers to adapt their strategies to align with these evolving consumer preferences.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Butter Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Northern Africa is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuating commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, and national economic stability. Global economic trends, including rising demand for dairy products and disruptions in supply chains, are impacting local butter prices and availability. Additionally, national economic health, marked by inflation and employment rates, influences consumer purchasing power and preferences. Fiscal policies aimed at supporting local agriculture and promoting sustainable practices are also crucial, as they encourage investment in dairy production while addressing the growing demand for healthier and locally sourced alternatives.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.