Bread - Northern Africa

Northern Africa

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$14.31bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.02% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$54.85 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 6.43bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.4% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 21.6kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Bread Market in Northern Africa is currently facing subdued growth, impacted by factors such as changing consumer preferences and increasing competition. Despite this, the market for Bread & Cereal Products continues to expand, driven by the convenience and health benefits offered by these products.

Customer preferences: The growing awareness and concern about food sustainability and environmental impact have led to a rise in demand for organic and locally sourced bread. Consumers are also seeking healthier options, such as gluten-free and whole grain bread, as they become more health-conscious. Furthermore, the rise of online grocery shopping and delivery services has made it more convenient for consumers to access a variety of bread options. This trend is expected to continue as more people prioritize health and convenience in their food choices.

Trends in the market: In Northern Africa, there has been a noticeable increase in consumer demand for healthier bread options, such as whole grain and gluten-free varieties. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the health benefits of these products, as well as a rise in dietary restrictions and preferences. Additionally, there has been a shift towards more convenient and on-the-go options, such as pre-sliced and individually wrapped bread. This trend is expected to continue, with a focus on innovation and product differentiation to cater to evolving consumer needs. For industry stakeholders, this presents opportunities for growth and expansion, but also the need to adapt to changing consumer demands and preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Northern Africa, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the region's rich culinary traditions and cultural practices. Bread is a staple food in many Northern African countries, with various types and flavors unique to each country. Additionally, the market is shaped by the region's geographical and climatic conditions, with the availability and production of certain grains and ingredients influencing the types of bread produced and consumed. Furthermore, regulatory factors, such as government subsidies and import/export regulations, play a significant role in the bread market, with some countries prioritizing local production and consumption over imports.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is greatly affected by macroeconomic factors in Northern Africa. The region's economic health, government policies, and global economic trends play a significant role in determining the market's performance. Countries with stable economies and favorable trade policies are experiencing higher market growth compared to those with unstable economic conditions and restrictive trade agreements. Additionally, factors such as population growth, urbanization, and changing consumer lifestyles are also influencing the demand for bread products in the region. This is leading to an increased focus on innovation and product diversification to cater to the evolving consumer preferences and drive market growth.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.