Margarine - Northern Africa | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$885.30m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.55% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$3.39 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 153.90m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.6% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.55kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Northern Africa is witnessing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as traditional cooking preferences, limited consumer awareness of margarine benefits, and competition from butter and other fats.

Customer preferences: In Northern Africa, consumer preferences in the Margarine Market are gradually shifting as health-consciousness gains traction among younger demographics. There is a growing interest in plant-based diets and alternatives to animal fats, driven by increased awareness of health benefits. Additionally, urbanization is influencing lifestyle changes, leading to more convenience-oriented food choices. As a result, brands are beginning to tailor their products to emphasize health benefits and sustainable sourcing, appealing to the evolving tastes and values of a more diverse consumer base.

Trends in the market: In Northern Africa, the Margarine Market is experiencing a notable shift towards healthier options, as consumers, particularly younger ones, increasingly prioritize nutrition and wellness. The trend towards plant-based and low-fat margarine alternatives is gaining momentum, reflecting a broader global movement towards sustainable eating habits. Furthermore, the rise of convenience foods is prompting brands to innovate by introducing fortified products that align with the health-focused lifestyle. Industry stakeholders are thus encouraged to adapt their strategies, focusing on transparency in sourcing and ingredient health benefits to meet changing consumer demands and foster brand loyalty.

Local special circumstances: In Northern Africa, the Margarine Market is influenced by a blend of cultural traditions and nutritional priorities, where local cuisines often emphasize the use of fats and oils. The rising awareness of health issues, coupled with a young demographic eager for healthier alternatives, is reshaping consumer preferences. Additionally, regulatory frameworks promoting food safety and quality are driving brands to innovate with clean-label products. The region's unique climate also impacts ingredient sourcing, pushing manufacturers to explore local plant-based oils that align with sustainability goals and cater to health-conscious consumers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Margarine Market in Northern Africa is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuating oil prices, trade policies, and economic stability across the region. Global trends towards health and wellness are prompting consumers to seek out healthier fat alternatives, while local economic conditions dictate pricing strategies and accessibility. Additionally, government initiatives aimed at enhancing food security and promoting local agricultural production are influencing the supply chain dynamics for margarine manufacturers. Currency fluctuations also play a crucial role, affecting import costs for raw materials and ultimately impacting product pricing and consumer purchasing power.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.