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Milk Substitutes - Eastern Africa

Eastern Africa
  • Revenue in the Milk Substitutes market amounts to US$49.57m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 20.34% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$10bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$0.11 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Milk Substitutes market, volume is expected to amount to 19.43m kg by 2029. The Milk Substitutes market is expected to show a volume growth of 9.6% in 2025.0.
  • The average volume per person in the Milk Substitutes market is expected to amount to 0.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

Milk substitutes refer to any type of milk not derived from animals. The Milk Substitutes market covers all types of plant-based milk such as soya, almond, oat, rice, coconut, spelt, and other. “Other” includes hazelnut, soya/rice blend, buckwheat, cashew, pea, millet, lupine, hemp, quinoa, flax seed, grain, etc.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram). The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

For more information on the displayed data, click the info button on the right side of each box.

In-Scope

  • Plant-based plain milk (e.g. Almond milk, soy milk, oat milk, coconut milk, rice milk, cashew milk, pea milk, hemp milk, macadamia milk, flax milk, quinoa milk, hazelnut milk, walnut milk)
  • Plant-based flavored milk
  • Unsweetened plant-based milk

Out-Of-Scope

  • Plant-based powdered milk
  • Breast-milk substitutes
  • Baby food
  • Yogurt substitutes
  • Cheese substitutes
  • Out-of-home consumption

Revenue

Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Volume

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Price

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Global Comparison

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Milk Substitutes Market in Eastern Africa is experiencing considerable growth, driven by factors such as increased adoption of dairy alternatives, growing health consciousness among consumers, and the convenience of online shopping. This trend is mainly influenced by the rising demand for plant-based milk substitutes due to health and environmental concerns.

Customer preferences:
As health and wellness continue to gain importance among consumers, the demand for plant-based milk substitutes is on the rise. This shift is driven by a growing trend of individuals seeking dairy-free alternatives due to health concerns, ethical considerations, and environmental sustainability. As a result, the market for milk substitutes, such as almond, soy, and coconut milk, is expected to witness significant growth in Eastern Africa.

Trends in the market:
In Eastern Africa, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is experiencing a surge in demand for plant-based milk alternatives. This trend is driven by increasing health consciousness, environmental concerns, and the rise of veganism. The trajectory of this trend is expected to continue upward, with the potential to disrupt traditional dairy markets. Industry stakeholders should consider diversifying their product offerings and investing in research and development to keep up with changing consumer preferences. Additionally, partnerships with local farmers and suppliers can help secure a sustainable supply chain for these emerging products.

Local special circumstances:
In Eastern Africa, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the region's traditional nomadic lifestyle, with a strong demand for non-dairy alternatives that can be easily transported and stored. Additionally, the region's diverse cultural practices and dietary preferences play a significant role in shaping the demand for milk substitutes, with choices ranging from plant-based options like soy and coconut milk to locally sourced alternatives like camel and goat milk. These factors create a unique market environment, with the potential for niche products to thrive and cater to specific consumer segments.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market in Eastern Africa is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as economic stability, government policies, and consumer purchasing power. With the region experiencing overall economic growth, there is a rise in disposable income and a growing middle class, leading to an increase in demand for dairy alternatives. Additionally, the region's growing population and urbanization, coupled with rising health concerns, are driving the demand for healthier and more sustainable food options, including milk substitutes. Government initiatives promoting sustainable and plant-based diets are also contributing to the market growth. However, challenges such as limited access to technology and infrastructure, high import costs, and inadequate distribution channels could hinder market growth in some countries.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

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