Margarine - Zambia

  • Zambia
  • Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$73.80m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 10.12% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$4,720m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$3.46 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 18.83m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.3% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.77kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, China, United States, South Korea, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in Zambia is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating raw material costs, changing consumer preferences, and competition from traditional butter products, which impact overall market expansion.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Zambia are increasingly favoring healthier and more sustainable food options, leading to a growing interest in plant-based margarine alternatives. This trend is influenced by a rising awareness of health issues related to saturated fats and a shift towards vegetarian and vegan diets among younger demographics. Additionally, as urbanization increases, busy lifestyles are prompting a demand for convenient, ready-to-use spreads. Cultural nuances, such as the traditional preference for local ingredients, are also shaping product innovation in the margarine market, driving brands to adapt their offerings.

Trends in the market:
In Zambia, the margarine market is experiencing a notable shift towards plant-based alternatives, driven by consumers' increasing awareness of health and sustainability. Younger demographics are particularly influencing this trend, gravitating towards products that align with vegetarian and vegan lifestyles. Additionally, the rise of urbanization is fostering a demand for convenient, ready-to-use spreads that fit busy lifestyles. This evolving landscape compels industry stakeholders to innovate, incorporating local ingredients and flavors to meet cultural preferences, ultimately reshaping product offerings and market strategies in the oils and fats sector.

Local special circumstances:
In Zambia, the margarine market is uniquely shaped by local agricultural practices and a rich culinary heritage that emphasizes the use of indigenous ingredients. The country's diverse climate allows for the cultivation of various oilseeds, such as sunflower and groundnut, which are increasingly being incorporated into margarine formulations. Cultural traditions around food also play a significant role, as consumers seek spreads that resonate with local flavors and cooking styles. Furthermore, regulatory initiatives promoting health and nutrition are encouraging manufacturers to reduce trans fats and enhance product transparency, fostering a more health-conscious market environment.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The margarine market in Zambia is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as agricultural productivity, trade policies, and consumer income levels. The country's focus on enhancing local oilseed production aligns with global sustainability trends, which boosts market potential. Furthermore, fluctuations in global oil prices impact raw material costs, affecting margarine pricing strategies. Government initiatives aimed at promoting nutrition and food security also drive innovation in product offerings. Additionally, rising disposable incomes are shifting consumer preferences towards premium, health-oriented margarine options, further shaping market dynamics.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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