Bread & Cereal Products - Zambia

  • Zambia
  • Revenue in the Bread & Bakery Products market amounts to US$563.90m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.70% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$278bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$26.68 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread & Bakery Products market, volume is expected to amount to 380.70m kg by 2029. The Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.4% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to amount to 16.3kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, United States, Canada, India, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread & Cereal Products market in Zambia is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as limited access to digital technologies and low health awareness among consumers. Additionally, traditional food preferences and low disposable income are also impacting the market's growth rate.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Zambia are increasingly embracing healthier lifestyles, leading to a growing demand for whole grain and gluten-free bread and cereal products. This trend is influenced by the rising health consciousness among the population, with more people focusing on clean eating and natural ingredients. As a result, there has been a surge in the availability of locally-sourced and organic options in the market. Furthermore, the growing urbanization and busy lifestyles have also led to a shift towards convenient and ready-to-eat cereal and bread products, catering to the on-the-go needs of consumers.

Trends in the market:
In Zambia, the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, as consumers become more health-conscious. This trend is driven by increasing concerns about diet-related diseases and a growing demand for organic and natural products. Industry stakeholders are responding by introducing new products and reformulating existing ones to meet this demand. Additionally, there is a growing trend of online grocery shopping, with more consumers opting to purchase bread and cereal products online. This trend is expected to continue, as e-commerce and digital platforms become more prevalent in the Zambian market.

Local special circumstances:
In Zambia, the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's agricultural sector. With a large portion of the population engaged in farming, there is a high demand for locally produced grains and cereals. The market also reflects cultural preferences, with a variety of traditional bread and cereal products being widely consumed. Additionally, government policies promoting food security and subsidies for local producers also play a significant role in shaping the market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Zambia is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as trade policies, agricultural productivity, and consumer purchasing power. The country's high dependence on agricultural production and exports makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in global commodity prices. Additionally, the government's fiscal policies, such as taxation and subsidies, play a crucial role in shaping the market. The country's economic health, as well as its investment in infrastructure and technological advancements, also impact market performance. Furthermore, factors such as changing consumer preferences and demographic shifts, such as the rising middle class and urbanization, are driving the demand for bread and cereal products in Zambia.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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