Fresh Fruits - Zambia

  • Zambia
  • Revenue in the Fresh Fruits market amounts to US$405.70m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 10.12% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in India (US$116bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$19.19 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Fresh Fruits market, volume is expected to amount to 230.30m kg by 2029. The Fresh Fruits market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.7% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Fresh Fruits market is expected to amount to 9.3kg in 2024.

Key regions: Canada, Spain, Russia, South Korea, Philippines

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Fresh Fruits Market in Zambia is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating weather patterns, limited access to quality produce, and rising competition from imported fruits, affecting consumer preferences and market dynamics.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Zambia are increasingly prioritizing fresh and locally sourced fruits, driven by a growing awareness of health and nutrition. This shift is influenced by a younger demographic that values organic produce and sustainable farming practices. Additionally, urbanization and busy lifestyles are prompting a rise in convenience-focused shopping, with many opting for online platforms to purchase fresh fruits. Social media is playing a significant role in shaping preferences, as influencers promote healthy eating habits and local fruit varieties, further impacting market dynamics.

Trends in the market:
In Zambia, the Fresh Fruits Market is experiencing a surge in demand for organic and locally sourced produce, driven by a health-conscious younger population. This demographic shift is fostering an increased inclination towards sustainable farming practices and eco-friendly products. Concurrently, urbanization is encouraging convenience-oriented shopping habits, with consumers increasingly utilizing online platforms for their fresh fruit purchases. Social media influencers are significantly impacting consumer preferences, promoting healthy eating and local fruit varieties, which is reshaping market dynamics and presenting new opportunities for industry stakeholders in terms of product offerings and marketing strategies.

Local special circumstances:
In Zambia, the Fresh Fruits Market is shaped by its diverse agro-climatic conditions, allowing for a wide variety of fruits to be cultivated year-round. Traditional dietary practices emphasize the consumption of local fruits, fostering a cultural affinity for indigenous produce. Additionally, government regulations promoting organic farming are gaining traction, enhancing market appeal. The rise of community-based cooperatives is further empowering local farmers, ensuring sustainable practices while meeting urban demands. These unique factors are driving the market's growth, creating opportunities for innovation and expansion.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Fresh Fruits Market in Zambia is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as agricultural policies, trade dynamics, and global market trends. The national economic health, characterized by GDP growth and inflation rates, directly impacts consumer purchasing power and spending on fresh produce. Favorable fiscal policies that support agricultural development and infrastructure improvements enhance market accessibility. Additionally, the increasing global demand for organic and sustainably sourced fruits presents opportunities for Zambian exporters. Fluctuations in international commodity prices also shape the competitiveness of local products, highlighting the interconnectedness of local and global markets.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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