Bread - Zambia

  • Zambia
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$153.00m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.98% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$7.18 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 119.90m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.3% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 4.8kg in 2024.

Key regions: India, United States, Japan, United Kingdom, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread Market in Zambia has seen minimal growth due to factors like low consumer awareness and limited access to digital technologies. Despite this, online health services are gaining traction, indicating potential for future growth.

Customer preferences:
As Zambia's economy continues to grow and diversify, the bread market within the bread and cereal products market of The Food market is experiencing a rise in demand for healthier and more diverse options. This can be attributed to changing consumer preferences for more nutritious and sustainable food choices. Additionally, with the rise of urbanization and increasing disposable incomes, there has been a shift towards convenience and on-the-go products, leading to a surge in demand for ready-to-eat bread and baked goods. This trend is also influenced by the growing influence of Westernized diets and lifestyles, as well as increasing health consciousness among consumers.

Trends in the market:
In Zambia, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier bread options, driven by consumer demand for more nutritious options. This trend is expected to continue as the government promotes healthy eating habits and implements food fortification programs. Additionally, there is a growing trend of using e-commerce and mobile payment platforms to purchase bread, reflecting the increasing influence of technology in the market. These developments are significant for industry stakeholders as they present opportunities for innovation and growth, but also pose challenges in terms of cost and adapting to changing consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In Zambia, the Bread Market is heavily influenced by the country's geographical and cultural factors. The majority of the population relies on traditional breads made from ingredients like cassava, maize, and sorghum, rather than wheat-based breads. This is due to the limited availability and high cost of wheat in the country. Additionally, the local preference for freshly baked bread has led to the dominance of small-scale bakeries, as opposed to large commercial bread producers. This unique market dynamic sets the Bread Market of Zambia apart from other markets in the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market, making it an important and distinct market to consider for businesses operating in this industry.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Zambia is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the country's economic growth, inflation rates, and government policies. With a growing economy and stable inflation rates, there is a strong demand for affordable and nutritious food products, including bread. Additionally, government initiatives to improve access to food and increase agricultural production have also positively impacted the market. However, challenges such as high import costs and limited investment in infrastructure can hinder market growth. Furthermore, the increasing urbanization and rising middle-class population in Zambia are also driving the demand for convenience and packaged food products, including bread.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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