Margarine - Lebanon | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$79.78m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 6.61% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$15.29 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 27.58m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.0% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 4.97kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Lebanon is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating raw material prices, changing consumer preferences towards healthier options, and economic challenges affecting purchasing power.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Lebanon are increasingly prioritizing health and wellness, resulting in a noticeable shift towards plant-based and low-fat margarines as alternatives to traditional spreads. This trend is fueled by a growing awareness of nutrition, particularly among younger demographics who are more inclined to adopt healthier eating habits. Additionally, cultural influences emphasizing fresh, local ingredients are prompting brands to innovate with natural flavorings and clean labels, reflecting a demand for transparency in food production while catering to the evolving lifestyle choices of health-conscious individuals.

Trends in the market: In Lebanon, the Margarine Market is experiencing a significant shift towards health-oriented products, with consumers increasingly favoring plant-based and low-fat margarines as alternatives to traditional spreads. This trend is particularly notable among younger consumers who are more health-conscious and open to innovative food choices. Additionally, there's a rising demand for transparent labeling and natural ingredients, as brands respond to cultural preferences for fresh and local products. These shifts present opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate and capture a segment of the market that values health, sustainability, and authenticity.

Local special circumstances: In Lebanon, the Margarine Market is shaped by unique local factors, including the country's culinary traditions and economic challenges. The Lebanese diet heavily features traditional spreads, which creates a competitive landscape for margarine brands to innovate while respecting local flavors. Additionally, the economic instability has led consumers to prioritize cost-effective, nutritious options, driving demand for affordable, high-quality margarines. Regulatory efforts promoting healthier food choices further encourage brands to adapt their formulations, aligning with the cultural emphasis on fresh and natural ingredients.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Margarine Market in Lebanon is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as inflation, currency depreciation, and shifting consumer spending patterns. The ongoing economic crisis has led consumers to seek affordable, nutritious alternatives, propelling demand for cost-effective margarine products. Additionally, global trends towards health-conscious eating and sustainable sourcing are impacting local brands, prompting them to innovate while considering local tastes. Regulatory policies aimed at improving food quality and safety further shape the market, encouraging brands to reformulate products to meet health standards and consumer preferences for natural ingredients.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.