Bread - Lebanon | Statista Market Forecast

Bread - Lebanon

Lebanon

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$267.90m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 11.50% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$51.33 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 129.70m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.1% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 18.6kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Bread & Cereal Products Market in Lebanon has seen moderate growth, hindered by factors such as price fluctuations, changing consumer preferences, and the emergence of alternative food options.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Lebanon are increasingly turning to artisanal and whole grain breads, as well as gluten-free options, as they become more health-conscious and prioritize natural and organic ingredients. This trend is partly influenced by the country's rich agricultural heritage and traditional Mediterranean diet. Additionally, the rising demand for plant-based and vegan diets is also driving the popularity of alternative bread options such as sourdough and sprouted grain breads.

Trends in the market: In Lebanon, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a surge in demand for gluten-free and organic bread options. This trend is driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers and a growing preference for natural and sustainable products. As a result, major players in the industry are expanding their product portfolios to cater to these evolving consumer preferences. This trajectory is significant as it reflects a shift towards healthier and more environmentally-friendly food choices. Industry stakeholders must adapt to these changing trends to stay competitive and meet the demands of the market. This could involve incorporating more organic and gluten-free options into their offerings, as well as investing in sustainable production methods. Failure to do so could lead to a loss of market share and potential financial implications for industry players.

Local special circumstances: In Lebanon, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's rich culinary traditions and its cultural significance. Bread is a staple in Lebanese cuisine and is often served with every meal. Additionally, the country's geographical location, with its Mediterranean climate and fertile land, allows for the production of high-quality wheat, resulting in a strong domestic supply. Furthermore, the Lebanese government plays a key role in regulating the bread market to ensure fair pricing and quality standards, which in turn impacts market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Lebanon is impacted by macroeconomic factors such as economic stability, consumer purchasing power, and government policies. The country's ongoing economic crisis has led to a decrease in consumer spending, affecting the demand for bread products. Furthermore, the high inflation rate and currency devaluation have resulted in increased production costs for bread manufacturers, leading to higher prices for consumers. Additionally, government subsidies on bread prices have been reduced, further impacting the affordability of bread products for consumers. These economic factors have hindered the growth of the Bread Market in Lebanon, creating challenges for both producers and consumers.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.