Tomato Ketchup - Southern Europe | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$1.59bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.04% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$6bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$6.71 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 636.20m kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 2.5kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Tomato Ketchup market covers sauces that are largely derived from tomatoes. It is frequently used as the foundation for other sauces as well as a topping or component in many different types of food, including pasta, pizza, and soups.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Tomato ketchup
Tomato-based sauces similar to ketchup
Tomato sauces
Sieved tomatoes
No added sugar tomato ketchup, flavored tomato ketchup

Other sauces (e.g. chutneys, soya sauce, mayonnaise, mustard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Tomato Ketchup market in Southern Europe is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as the region's traditional food preferences and slow adoption of digital technologies. Despite this, rising health awareness among consumers and the convenience of online services are driving the market forward.

Customer preferences: As consumers become more health-conscious in Southern Europe, the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is seeing a rise in demand for healthier and organic ketchup options. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the benefits of a plant-based diet and a desire for more natural ingredients. Additionally, with the rise of veganism and flexitarianism, there is a growing demand for plant-based condiments, including tomato ketchup.

Trends in the market: In Southern Europe, the Tomato Ketchup market is experiencing a surge in demand for organic and all-natural ketchup options, as consumers become more health-conscious and seek out healthier alternatives. This trend is expected to continue, with a focus on clean ingredients and sustainable packaging. Additionally, there is a growing trend towards premium and gourmet ketchup options, as consumers seek out unique and flavorful varieties. These trends have significant implications for industry stakeholders, as they must adapt their products and marketing strategies to cater to changing consumer preferences and capitalize on the growing demand for higher quality ketchup options.

Local special circumstances: In Southern Europe, the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the region's rich culinary history and love for flavorful and fresh ingredients. This has resulted in a high demand for locally produced and artisanal tomato ketchup, as well as a preference for traditional recipes and flavors. Additionally, strict regulations on food labeling and quality have also played a role in shaping the market, with consumers prioritizing products made with natural and organic ingredients. These factors have created a unique market dynamic that sets it apart from other regions.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is greatly impacted by macroeconomic factors in Southern Europe. As global economic trends continue to shift, the demand for tomato ketchup has also been affected. National economic health, including factors such as GDP and inflation, also play a role in the market's performance. Fiscal policies, such as tariffs and trade agreements, can also have a significant impact on the tomato ketchup market. Other relevant financial indicators, such as consumer spending and disposable income, can also influence the demand for tomato ketchup in the region. Overall, the economic climate in Southern Europe greatly affects the growth and development of the Tomato Ketchup Market, making it essential for companies to closely monitor and adapt to these macroeconomic factors.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.