Edible Oils - Southern Africa | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Edible Oils market amounts to US$503.70m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.25% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$35bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$7.19 are generated in 2024.
In the Edible Oils market, volume is expected to amount to 117.40m kg by 2029. The Edible Oils market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.5% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Edible Oils market is expected to amount to 1.45kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Edible Oils market covers any type of oil that is extracted from plants and nuts and is used for cooking and food preparation.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Olive oil
Sunflower oil
Other edible oils (e.g. palm, soybean, coconut oil, canola oil, rapeseed oil, sesame oil, soybean oil)
Cooking oil blends

Butter
Margarine
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Edible Oils Market in Southern Africa is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating prices, shifting consumer preferences toward healthier options, and competition from alternative fats and oils, which are impacting demand dynamics.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Southern Africa are increasingly gravitating towards healthier and more sustainable edible oil options, reflecting a growing awareness of nutrition and wellness. This shift is influenced by demographic changes, including a younger population that prioritizes fitness and dietary choices. Additionally, cultural nuances play a role, as traditional cooking methods evolve to incorporate healthier fats. The rise of plant-based diets and natural products is further driving demand for oils like avocado and olive, while concerns over palm oil sustainability are prompting a decline in its popularity.

Trends in the market: In Southern Africa, the Edible Oils Market is experiencing a notable shift towards healthier and more sustainable options, driven by a growing consumer focus on nutrition and wellness. Younger demographics are increasingly favoring oils like avocado and olive, aligning with the rise of plant-based diets. Additionally, traditional cooking practices are evolving to incorporate healthier fats. Concerns over the sustainability of palm oil are leading to its declining popularity. These trends are significant for industry stakeholders, as they must adapt product offerings and marketing strategies to cater to the demand for clean-label, ethically sourced oils to remain competitive.

Local special circumstances: In Southern Africa, the Edible Oils Market is influenced by a rich tapestry of cultural culinary practices and diverse agricultural landscapes. Traditional dishes often utilize local oils such as sunflower and groundnut, which align with regional tastes and cooking methods. Additionally, regulatory frameworks are increasingly promoting sustainable agricultural practices, impacting oil production. The region's climate also supports the cultivation of alternative oil sources, such as baobab and marula, offering unique local options that resonate with consumers seeking authenticity and health benefits in their food choices.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Edible Oils Market in Southern Africa is shaped by macroeconomic factors including fluctuating commodity prices, national economic stability, and trade policies. Global trends, such as rising demand for healthier oils and sustainability, are influencing local production and consumption patterns. Economic health indicators, like GDP growth and inflation rates, directly impact consumer purchasing power and preferences. Additionally, government initiatives promoting local oil production and reducing import dependency are crucial, as they encourage investment in sustainable agricultural practices, thus enhancing the overall market performance and resilience against global economic shifts.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.