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Milk Substitutes - Southern Africa

Southern Africa
  • Revenue in the Milk Substitutes market amounts to US$44.63m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 13.33% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$10bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$0.64 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Milk Substitutes market, volume is expected to amount to 17.56m kg by 2029. The Milk Substitutes market is expected to show a volume growth of 10.2% in 2025.0.
  • The average volume per person in the Milk Substitutes market is expected to amount to 0.2kg in 2024.

Definition:

Milk substitutes refer to any type of milk not derived from animals. The Milk Substitutes market covers all types of plant-based milk such as soya, almond, oat, rice, coconut, spelt, and other. “Other” includes hazelnut, soya/rice blend, buckwheat, cashew, pea, millet, lupine, hemp, quinoa, flax seed, grain, etc.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram). The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

For more information on the displayed data, click the info button on the right side of each box.

In-Scope

  • Plant-based plain milk (e.g. Almond milk, soy milk, oat milk, coconut milk, rice milk, cashew milk, pea milk, hemp milk, macadamia milk, flax milk, quinoa milk, hazelnut milk, walnut milk)
  • Plant-based flavored milk
  • Unsweetened plant-based milk

Out-Of-Scope

  • Plant-based powdered milk
  • Breast-milk substitutes
  • Baby food
  • Yogurt substitutes
  • Cheese substitutes
  • Out-of-home consumption

Revenue

Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Volume

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Price

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Global Comparison

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Milk Substitutes Market in Southern Africa is experiencing mild growth, impacted by factors such as increasing health consciousness and convenience of online services. This growth is driven by the rising demand for dairy-free alternatives in The Food market, especially in countries like South Africa and Namibia.

Customer preferences:
As the demand for health-conscious and environmentally-friendly products rises, the Milk Substitutes Market in Southern Africa has seen a shift towards plant-based options. This trend is driven by cultural preferences for diets that are in harmony with nature, as well as a growing awareness of the negative impact of animal agriculture on the environment. Furthermore, the rise of veganism and flexitarianism among younger demographics has also contributed to the growth of the market for milk substitutes.

Trends in the market:
In Southern Africa, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is experiencing a surge in demand for plant-based milk alternatives such as almond, soy, and coconut milk. This trend is driven by the increasing health consciousness among consumers and the rising prevalence of lactose intolerance. Additionally, the growing vegan population and the availability of a wide range of milk substitutes are contributing to the growth of this market. This trend is expected to continue, presenting opportunities for industry stakeholders to capitalize on the shift towards plant-based milk substitutes.

Local special circumstances:
In Southern Africa, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is influenced by unique factors such as the region's diverse cultural and dietary preferences. Additionally, stringent government regulations on dairy production have led to a growing demand for alternative milk products. Furthermore, the increasing health consciousness among consumers has boosted the popularity of plant-based milk substitutes, such as almond and soy milk, in the region. These factors contribute to the dynamic growth of the Milk Substitutes Market in Southern Africa.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market in Southern Africa is affected by various macroeconomic factors. These include global economic trends such as changing consumer preferences towards plant-based diets and the increasing demand for dairy-free products. National economic health, fiscal policies, and other financial indicators also play a significant role in shaping the market in this region. Countries with stable economies and supportive policies for alternative food products are likely to experience higher growth in the Milk Substitutes Market. Additionally, the rising prevalence of lactose intolerance and the growing awareness regarding the health and environmental benefits of non-dairy alternatives are also key drivers for the market's growth in Southern Africa.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

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