Margarine - Uganda | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$168.40m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.86% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$3.37 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 45.54m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.79kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats segment in Uganda is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by fluctuating raw material prices, changing consumer preferences towards healthier options, and increased competition from alternative spreads.

Customer preferences: In Uganda, consumers are gravitating towards healthier, plant-based spreads as awareness of nutrition grows, particularly among the younger demographic. This shift is influenced by a rising focus on wellness and preventive health, driven by social media and health campaigns. Additionally, urbanization is fostering a preference for convenient, ready-to-use products that align with busy lifestyles. Traditional preferences are being challenged as more people explore alternatives, prompting brands to innovate and cater to these evolving tastes while emphasizing natural ingredients and sustainability.

Trends in the market: In Uganda, the Margarine Market is experiencing a notable shift towards healthier, plant-based options as consumers increasingly prioritize nutrition and wellness. This trend is particularly prominent among younger demographics, influenced by social media campaigns that promote healthier eating habits. Urbanization is also playing a crucial role, as busy lifestyles drive demand for convenient, ready-to-use spreads. As traditional margarine preferences wane, manufacturers are being urged to innovate by incorporating natural ingredients and sustainable practices, which could reshape product offerings and marketing strategies in the industry.

Local special circumstances: In Uganda, the Margarine Market is shaped by unique cultural preferences and local dietary habits, with traditional staples influencing consumer choices. The reliance on locally sourced ingredients and the popularity of indigenous foods encourage manufacturers to adapt their products to suit local tastes. Additionally, regulatory frameworks aimed at promoting food safety and nutritional standards are driving innovation in product formulations. The increasing awareness of health issues, alongside a growing middle class, is further fueling demand for margarine that aligns with both local culinary practices and modern health trends.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Margarine Market in Uganda is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic stability, consumer spending power, and global commodity prices. Economic growth and rising disposable incomes are enabling households to purchase higher-quality food products, including margarine. Furthermore, fluctuations in the prices of raw materials, driven by global market trends, impact production costs and retail pricing. Additionally, government fiscal policies promoting agricultural development and food safety regulations foster a conducive environment for local manufacturers. The increasing focus on health and nutrition among consumers also aligns with global trends, driving demand for healthier margarine options.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.