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  4. Bread & Cereal Products

Bread - Uganda

Uganda
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$673.60m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.96% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$13.49 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 631.30m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.8% in 2025.0.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 9.9kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Bread market covers staple items made by mixing one or more types of flour, wet ingredients, and leavening ingredients, and then baking it until it becomes firm and dry. Bread is available in a variety of shapes and flavors. Popular types of bread include white, whole wheat, and sourdough.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

For more information on the displayed data, click the info button on the right side of each box.

In-Scope

  • Bread of all types of grain is included (wheat bread, whole wheat bread, brown bread, spelt bread, cornbread, yeast bread, sourdough, rice bread, gluten-free bread, raisin/fruit bread)
  • Fresh bread, frozen bread
  • Flatbread (Tortillas), bread rolls and sliced bread (toasted bread)
  • Bagels, Ciabatta, Baguette
  • Injera, Bao Buns, Panini, Naan, Pita, English Muffin

Out-Of-Scope

  • Pastry and other bakery goods
  • Gingerbread
  • Crackers
  • Out-of-home consumption

Revenue

Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Volume

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Price

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Sales Channels

Most recent update: Nov 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Global Comparison

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Bread & Cereal Products Market in Uganda is experiencing mild growth, driven by factors like increasing consumer awareness and convenience of online services. This growth rate is impacted by various factors.

Customer preferences:
The Bread Market in Uganda has seen a rise in demand for healthier and more nutritious bread options, as consumers become more health-conscious. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the importance of a balanced diet and the impact of food choices on overall health. As a result, there has been a shift towards breads with whole grains and natural ingredients, as well as gluten-free and low-carb options. This reflects a larger global trend towards healthier eating habits and a desire for more transparency in food production.

Trends in the market:
In Uganda, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a rise in demand for healthier options, such as whole grain and multigrain breads. This trend is driven by an increasing awareness of the benefits of a balanced diet and the rise of health-conscious consumers. Additionally, there is a growing demand for gluten-free and organic breads. These trends are expected to continue, as consumers become more health-conscious and seek out alternative options in the bread market. This presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to cater to this growing demand and expand their product offerings.

Local special circumstances:
In Uganda, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by local agricultural practices and consumer preferences. Uganda's agricultural sector is dominated by small-scale farmers, leading to a high degree of fragmentation in the bread production market. Additionally, cultural factors such as the preference for freshly baked bread and the availability of traditional grains like millet and sorghum have shaped the country's bread market. These unique factors contribute to a diverse and dynamic bread market in Uganda, making it distinct from other markets in the region.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Uganda is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the country's economic growth, consumer purchasing power, and government policies. Uganda has been experiencing steady economic growth in recent years, leading to an increase in disposable income and consumer spending. This has positively impacted the demand for bread and cereal products, as consumers are willing to spend more on these staple food items. Additionally, the government's focus on promoting agriculture and food security through various policies and initiatives has also contributed to the growth of the bread market in Uganda. However, factors such as inflation, exchange rates, and trade policies can also have an impact on the performance of the bread market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

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