Margarine - Papua New Guinea

  • Papua New Guinea
  • Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$10.35m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 6.53% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$4,720m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$0.98 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 2.73m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.2% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.24kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, China, United States, South Korea, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector in Papua New Guinea is experiencing subdued growth. This is due to factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives, economic challenges, and increased competition from butter and other spreads.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in Papua New Guinea are increasingly gravitating towards natural and organic food products, reflecting a growing awareness of health and wellness. This trend is influenced by cultural shifts that prioritize traditional diets rich in whole foods, alongside a rising interest in local produce. Additionally, younger demographics are adopting modern lifestyles that emphasize fitness and nutrition, driving demand for healthier spreads. Consequently, this shift is challenging the traditional margarine market, as consumers explore alternatives that align with their evolving preferences and values.

Trends in the market:
In Papua New Guinea, the margarine market is experiencing a notable shift as consumers increasingly favor healthier, natural alternatives over traditional margarine products. This trend is driven by a heightened awareness of health and wellness, with a significant portion of the population embracing organic and locally sourced food options. Younger consumers, influenced by modern lifestyles, are prioritizing nutrition and fitness, which is reshaping their preferences for spreads. As a result, industry stakeholders must adapt to these evolving demands, potentially reformulating products or diversifying offerings to include healthier, plant-based options, which could lead to a more competitive market landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Papua New Guinea, the margarine market is uniquely shaped by the country's diverse geography and cultural practices surrounding food. The abundance of local ingredients, such as coconut and palm oils, encourages innovation in product formulations, appealing to health-conscious consumers. Additionally, traditional diets rich in natural fats influence consumer preferences, steering them towards healthier alternatives. Regulatory frameworks supporting local agriculture can promote the use of indigenous crops in margarine production, further enhancing market appeal and sustainability while catering to a growing demand for natural and organic products.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The margarine market in Papua New Guinea is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the national economic stability, global commodity prices, and trade policies. The country's reliance on agricultural exports makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in global oil prices, impacting margarine production costs. Fiscal policies that support local agriculture can enhance the availability of indigenous raw materials, fostering innovation and sustainability in product offerings. Furthermore, a growing middle class with increasing disposable income drives demand for premium and health-oriented margarine products, aligning with global trends towards healthier eating. This interplay of local economic conditions and global market dynamics shapes the future of the margarine sector in Papua New Guinea.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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