Bread - Papua New Guinea

  • Papua New Guinea
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$255.80m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.55% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$24.33 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 0.63bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 5.4% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 49.0kg in 2024.

Key regions: India, United States, Japan, United Kingdom, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread market in Papua New Guinea is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as low consumer awareness and limited access to digital technologies. Despite these challenges, the convenience and health benefits of bread products continue to drive demand in this market.

Customer preferences:
As consumers in Papua New Guinea continue to prioritize convenience and affordability, there has been a notable shift towards packaged bread and cereal products in the market. This trend is further influenced by the increasing urbanization and busy lifestyles, leading to a growing demand for ready-to-eat and on-the-go options. Additionally, with the rise of health consciousness, there has been a surge in demand for healthier and organic bread and cereal products, reflecting a shift towards mindful eating habits.

Trends in the market:
In Papua New Guinea, the Bread Market within the Bread & Cereal Products Market is experiencing an increase in demand for healthier and more diverse options, including gluten-free and artisanal breads. This trend is driven by an increasing awareness of the health benefits of whole grains and a growing demand for international flavors. As a result, there is a rising interest in incorporating local ingredients and traditional techniques into bread production. This presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to diversify their product offerings and cater to the evolving tastes of consumers in the region.

Local special circumstances:
In Papua New Guinea, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's unique geographical and cultural factors. The rugged terrain and lack of infrastructure make it challenging to distribute and access bread products, leading to a reliance on locally produced bread. Additionally, the cultural preference for fresh, handmade bread over packaged bread affects consumer behavior and product availability. The regulatory environment also plays a role, with strict import regulations limiting the variety of bread products available in the market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Papua New Guinea is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic health, fiscal policies, and global economic trends. The country's economic growth and stability, as well as its government's fiscal policies, play a significant role in shaping the market. Moreover, global economic trends, such as changes in consumer spending patterns and trade policies, impact the demand and supply of bread products in the country. Additionally, the availability of resources and infrastructure, along with consumer preferences and purchasing power, also affect the performance of the Bread Market in Papua New Guinea.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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