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  4. Bread & Cereal Products

Bread - Zimbabwe

Zimbabwe
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$437.20m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 15.16% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$25.69 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 171.40m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.7% in 2025.0.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 9.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Bread market covers staple items made by mixing one or more types of flour, wet ingredients, and leavening ingredients, and then baking it until it becomes firm and dry. Bread is available in a variety of shapes and flavors. Popular types of bread include white, whole wheat, and sourdough.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

For more information on the displayed data, click the info button on the right side of each box.

In-Scope

  • Bread of all types of grain is included (wheat bread, whole wheat bread, brown bread, spelt bread, cornbread, yeast bread, sourdough, rice bread, gluten-free bread, raisin/fruit bread)
  • Fresh bread, frozen bread
  • Flatbread (Tortillas), bread rolls and sliced bread (toasted bread)
  • Bagels, Ciabatta, Baguette
  • Injera, Bao Buns, Panini, Naan, Pita, English Muffin

Out-Of-Scope

  • Pastry and other bakery goods
  • Gingerbread
  • Crackers
  • Out-of-home consumption

Revenue

Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Volume

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Price

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Sales Channels

Most recent update: Nov 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Global Comparison

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Bread market in Zimbabwe is experiencing considerable growth, driven by factors such as increasing demand for convenience, rising health awareness, and adoption of digital technologies. This growth rate is impacted by the expanding food market and consumer preferences for bread and cereal products.

Customer preferences:
In recent years, there has been a growing trend in Zimbabwe towards healthier and more convenient food options, leading to a rise in demand for whole grain and gluten-free bread. This shift is driven by an increasing awareness of health and wellness, as well as a growing preference for locally sourced and sustainable products. Moreover, with the rise of digital platforms, consumers are also seeking out online delivery options for their bread purchases, reflecting a growing reliance on e-commerce and contactless services.

Trends in the market:
In Zimbabwe, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, with consumers increasingly seeking out whole grain and gluten-free breads. This trend is expected to continue as health consciousness and dietary restrictions become more prevalent. Additionally, there is a growing demand for artisanal and locally sourced breads, reflecting a desire for quality and sustainability. These trends present opportunities for industry stakeholders to diversify their product offerings and tap into new consumer segments. However, they may also pose challenges for smaller, traditional bakeries that may struggle to keep up with changing consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In Zimbabwe, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is influenced by the country's economic and political instability. The fluctuating inflation rates and currency devaluation have led to higher production costs and increased bread prices. Additionally, the country's dependence on imported wheat has made it vulnerable to global market trends and trade policies. These factors have resulted in a highly competitive market, with local bakeries struggling to compete with cheaper imported bread. Moreover, the country's high unemployment rates and low disposable income have affected consumer spending patterns, leading to a shift towards cheaper, locally produced bread options.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Zimbabwe is greatly impacted by macroeconomic factors such as inflation, consumer purchasing power, and government policies. The high inflation rate in the country has led to increased production costs and reduced consumer spending, thus affecting the demand for bread products. Moreover, government policies such as import restrictions and foreign exchange controls have also contributed to the slow growth of the bread market. These factors, coupled with the overall economic instability in Zimbabwe, have resulted in a challenging market environment for bread and cereal product manufacturers.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

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