Tomato Ketchup - Americas | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$9.05bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.80% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$6bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$8.90 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 3.48bn kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 3.2kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Tomato Ketchup market covers sauces that are largely derived from tomatoes. It is frequently used as the foundation for other sauces as well as a topping or component in many different types of food, including pasta, pizza, and soups.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Tomato ketchup
Tomato-based sauces similar to ketchup
Tomato sauces
Sieved tomatoes
No added sugar tomato ketchup, flavored tomato ketchup

Other sauces (e.g. chutneys, soya sauce, mayonnaise, mustard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Tomato Ketchup Market in the Sauces & Spices Market of The Food market in the Americas is experiencing slow growth due to various factors such as low consumer awareness, limited adoption of digital technologies, and a preference for traditional condiments. Despite the negligible growth rate, the convenience and versatility of tomato ketchup continue to drive its demand in the region.

Customer preferences: There has been a growing trend towards healthier eating habits in the Americas, leading to an increased demand for all-natural and organic products, including tomato ketchup. This shift is driven by a desire for transparency and sustainability in food production, as well as a focus on clean eating and plant-based diets. As a result, many companies in the Tomato Ketchup Market are now offering more natural and organic options, catering to the evolving preferences of health-conscious consumers.

Trends in the market: In the United States, the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is experiencing a surge in demand for organic and natural options due to increasing health consciousness among consumers. This trend is expected to continue as consumers become more aware of the potential health benefits of using natural ingredients in their food. Additionally, there is a growing interest in plant-based ketchup alternatives as consumers seek out healthier and more environmentally friendly options. This trend is significant for industry stakeholders as it presents opportunities for market growth and innovation in product development. However, it also poses challenges for traditional ketchup manufacturers to adapt and meet changing consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market, the United States boasts the highest consumption of ketchup per capita globally. This is due to the cultural preference for ketchup as a condiment on popular American foods like burgers and hot dogs. The market is also heavily influenced by the country's strict food regulations, which require ketchup to contain at least 33% tomato solids. This has led to the development of unique and high-quality ketchup products in the US, setting it apart from other markets.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is significantly impacted by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, trade policies, and inflation rates. As consumer preferences and purchasing power influence the demand for tomato ketchup, changes in trade policies and fluctuations in inflation rates can greatly affect market performance. Additionally, economic downturns can lead to reduced consumer spending on non-essential items like condiments, resulting in a decline in market growth. On the other hand, strong economic growth and stable fiscal policies can bolster consumer confidence and increase demand for premium tomato ketchup products.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.