Margarine - Ghana | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$374.80m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.19% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$10.78 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 64.00m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 1.2% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 1.72kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in Ghana is witnessing minimal growth, influenced by factors like fluctuating raw material costs, changing consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives, and competition from butter and other spreads.

Customer preferences: In Ghana, consumer preferences in the margarine market are shifting towards healthier and more natural options, reflecting an increased awareness of nutrition and wellness among the populace. This trend is particularly evident among younger demographics who are more inclined to seek out products with clean labels and functional ingredients, such as omega-3 fatty acids. Additionally, cultural influences promoting traditional cooking practices are leading some consumers to gravitate back towards butter and other natural spreads, further reshaping the competitive landscape of the Oils & Fats market.

Trends in the market: In Ghana, the margarine market is experiencing a notable shift towards plant-based and healthier alternatives, driven by an increasing focus on nutrition and wellness among consumers. Younger demographics are particularly influential, favoring products with transparent labeling and added health benefits, such as plant sterols and vitamins. Concurrently, there is a resurgence in traditional cooking methods, causing some consumers to revert to butter and other natural fats. This evolving landscape poses significant implications for industry stakeholders, as they must adapt product offerings and marketing strategies to align with these changing consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Ghana, the margarine market is influenced by unique local factors such as the country’s agricultural diversity and cultural preferences for traditional foods. The abundance of locally sourced palm oil and shea butter presents opportunities for margarine producers to incorporate regional ingredients, appealing to consumers’ desire for authenticity. Additionally, local dietary habits emphasize the use of margarine in everyday cooking, often influenced by family traditions. Regulatory policies promoting food fortification also encourage the inclusion of vitamins and nutrients, aligning with the health-conscious trends among consumers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The margarine market in Ghana is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as national economic stability, consumer purchasing power, and global commodity prices. A growing economy enhances disposable incomes, allowing consumers to invest in higher-quality margarine products. Additionally, fluctuations in global palm oil and shea butter prices can directly impact production costs, affecting pricing strategies for local margarine brands. Fiscal policies that support agricultural development and promote local sourcing also foster a favorable environment for margarine producers. Furthermore, consumer trends towards healthier and fortified food options drive innovations in product formulations, enabling market players to align with evolving dietary preferences.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.