Margarine - Baltics

  • Baltics
  • Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$102.10m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.89% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$4,720m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$17.53 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 18.71m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.9% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 2.80kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, China, United States, South Korea, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in the Baltics is witnessing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier alternatives, economic conditions, and the competitive landscape of spreads and cooking oils.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in the Baltics are gravitating towards plant-based and organic products, reflecting a broader trend toward health-conscious eating. This shift is influenced by rising awareness of the health impacts of trans fats and the growing popularity of veganism among younger demographics. Additionally, the demand for clean-label products is escalating, prompting manufacturers to reformulate margarine with fewer additives. Cultural preferences for traditional cooking methods also play a role, as consumers seek alternatives that align with local culinary practices while prioritizing health and sustainability.

Trends in the market:
In the Baltics, the Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector is experiencing a significant shift towards health-oriented products, driven by consumer demand for plant-based and organic options. The increasing awareness of the dangers of trans fats is prompting manufacturers to innovate, reformulating margarine with cleaner labels and fewer additives. Younger consumers are particularly attracted to vegan alternatives, while traditional culinary practices continue to influence product development. This trend not only highlights the importance of health and sustainability but also presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to adapt their offerings and meet evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In the Baltics, the Margarine Market within the Oils & Fats sector is shaped by unique cultural and historical influences, such as a strong tradition of home cooking and regional preferences for specific flavors and textures. The emphasis on natural ingredients aligns with local agricultural practices, promoting the use of locally sourced oils. Additionally, stringent EU regulations on food labeling and health claims push manufacturers to prioritize transparency, fostering consumer trust in health-focused products. These factors collectively drive innovation and shape market dynamics, creating a distinct landscape for margarine alternatives.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Margarine Market in the Baltics is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending habits, economic stability, and agricultural policies. The region's steady GDP growth fosters increased disposable income, allowing consumers to prioritize premium margarine products that emphasize health and quality. Additionally, favorable agricultural policies support local oil production, aligning with the rising demand for sustainable and locally sourced ingredients. Global trends towards plant-based diets and health-conscious eating further enhance market opportunities. Conversely, inflationary pressures and fluctuating commodity prices could challenge manufacturers, impacting pricing strategies and profit margins.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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