Bread - Baltics

  • Baltics
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$1.03bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 4.44% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$177.50 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 0.43bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.0% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 68.2kg in 2024.

Key regions: India, United States, Japan, United Kingdom, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread market in the Baltics has seen marginal growth due to factors like low consumer health awareness and traditional preference for homemade bread. Its growth rate is impacted by limited innovation and competition from other grain-based products.

Customer preferences:
In the Baltics, consumers are increasingly gravitating towards artisanal and specialty breads, driven by a growing interest in diverse and premium food options. This trend is also influenced by a rising awareness of gluten-free and healthy bread alternatives, as well as a growing interest in regional and traditional bread varieties. Additionally, there has been a shift towards convenience and ready-to-eat bread products, reflecting changing consumer lifestyles and the need for quick and easy meal solutions.

Trends in the market:
In the Baltics, the Bread Market is experiencing a rise in demand for healthier bread options, such as whole grain and gluten-free breads. This trend is driven by consumers' increased focus on health and wellness, as well as a growing awareness of food allergies and intolerances. In addition, there is a shift towards artisanal and specialty breads, as consumers seek unique and high-quality products. These trends are expected to continue in the coming years, presenting opportunities for industry players to innovate and cater to evolving consumer preferences. However, it also poses challenges for traditional bread manufacturers to adapt and compete in this changing market landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In the Baltics, the Bread Market is heavily influenced by the region's strong cultural ties to bread as a staple food. This has led to a high demand for traditional, artisanal breads, and a preference for locally sourced ingredients. Additionally, the unique climate and soil conditions in the Baltics contribute to the production of high quality grains, further driving the market. Government regulations also play a role, with strict standards for bread production and labeling, ensuring the authenticity and quality of bread products in the market. These factors make the Baltics a unique and thriving market for bread, with a strong focus on quality and tradition.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily impacted by macroeconomic factors such as economic stability, consumer spending patterns, and government policies. As global economic trends shift, the demand for bread products may fluctuate. Additionally, national economic health, including unemployment rates and inflation, can greatly influence consumer purchasing power and ultimately affect market performance. Fiscal policies, such as taxes and subsidies, can also impact the competitiveness and profitability of the bread market. Furthermore, other financial indicators, such as interest rates and exchange rates, can have a ripple effect on the bread market as they influence the cost of production and consumer behavior.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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