Bread & Cereal Products - Nordics

  • Nordics
  • Revenue in the Bread & Bakery Products market amounts to US$10.33bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.67% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$278bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$367.20 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread & Bakery Products market, volume is expected to amount to 2.25bn kg by 2029. The Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.4% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to amount to 73.6kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, United States, Canada, India, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread & Cereal Products Market in Nordics is facing a stagnant growth rate, influenced by factors such as changing consumer preferences, increased competition, and fluctuating commodity prices. Despite the convenience offered by online services, traditional bread and cereal products remain popular, while the demand for healthier options is on the rise. The market is also impacted by the growing trend of plant-based and gluten-free options, as well as government regulations promoting sustainable food production.

Customer preferences:
In the Nordics, there has been a growing trend towards plant-based and gluten-free options in the Bread & Cereal Products Market. This shift is driven by a rise in health-conscious consumers who are seeking healthier and more sustainable food choices. Additionally, there is an increasing demand for convenience and on-the-go options, leading to the popularity of single-serve and ready-to-eat cereal products. This shift towards healthier and more convenient options is also attributed to the busy and fast-paced lifestyles of Nordic consumers.

Trends in the market:
In the Nordics, the Bread & Cereal Products Market is seeing a rise in demand for gluten-free and organic options, driven by increasing health consciousness and dietary restrictions. This trend is expected to continue as consumers prioritize health and wellness, leading to a potential shift in product offerings and marketing strategies. Additionally, there is a growing focus on sustainability and eco-friendliness in the market, with companies exploring alternative ingredients and packaging solutions. This trend is likely to have significant implications for industry stakeholders, as they adapt to changing consumer preferences and compete in an increasingly competitive market.

Local special circumstances:
In the Nordics, the Bread & Cereal Products market is heavily influenced by the region's strong focus on sustainability and health-consciousness. This has led to a surge in demand for organic and wholegrain options, as well as a growing trend towards plant-based alternatives. Additionally, the region's strict food regulations and labeling laws have created a transparent and trustworthy market for consumers. Furthermore, the Nordic countries' cold climate and long winters have also contributed to a high consumption of bread and cereal products as staple foods.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in the Nordics is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending, government regulations, and trade policies. The high disposable income and focus on healthy eating habits in the region are driving the demand for organic and natural bread and cereal products. Government initiatives promoting sustainable and local food production are also fueling market growth. However, challenges such as fluctuating raw material prices and trade barriers within the EU may hinder market expansion in the Nordics.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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