Tomato Ketchup - Northern Europe | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$484.30m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 4.38% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$6bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$14.30 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 149.20m kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.5% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 4.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Tomato Ketchup market covers sauces that are largely derived from tomatoes. It is frequently used as the foundation for other sauces as well as a topping or component in many different types of food, including pasta, pizza, and soups.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Tomato ketchup
Tomato-based sauces similar to ketchup
Tomato sauces
Sieved tomatoes
No added sugar tomato ketchup, flavored tomato ketchup

Other sauces (e.g. chutneys, soya sauce, mayonnaise, mustard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Tomato Ketchup Market in Northern Europe is currently experiencing negligible growth, influenced by factors such as changing consumer preferences and increasing competition. Despite this, the market still shows promise due to the convenience and versatility of ketchup in the food industry.

Customer preferences: The tomato ketchup market in Northern Europe is witnessing a rise in demand for organic and all-natural options, as consumers become more health-conscious and look for cleaner label products. This trend is also driven by the increasing popularity of vegan and plant-based diets, as consumers seek out healthier and more sustainable food choices. Additionally, there is a growing preference for smaller and local brands, as consumers value authenticity and traceability in their food products.

Trends in the market: In Northern Europe, the Tomato Ketchup market within the Sauces & Spices Market of The Food market is seeing a shift towards healthier and more sustainable options. Consumers are increasingly seeking out organic and all-natural ketchup, as well as products with reduced sugar and salt content. Additionally, there is a growing trend towards plant-based alternatives to traditional ketchup. These trends are significant as they reflect changing consumer preferences and could have implications for industry stakeholders, such as the need for product innovation and marketing strategies to cater to these evolving demands.

Local special circumstances: In Northern Europe, the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is influenced by the region's health-conscious population and strict regulations on food labeling and ingredients. Additionally, the trend towards plant-based diets has led to the popularity of vegan and organic ketchup options. In countries such as Sweden and Norway, the demand for sustainable and locally sourced products has also influenced the market, with consumers choosing ketchup made from locally grown tomatoes over imported varieties.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer preferences, economic stability, and government policies. Countries with a stable economy and favorable government policies are experiencing higher growth in the market due to increased consumer spending and investment in the food industry. Moreover, rising health consciousness and demand for convenience foods are driving the growth of the tomato ketchup market in Northern Europe. Additionally, the presence of major food industry players and technological advancements in production processes are further propelling market growth.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.