Margarine - Western Africa

  • Western Africa
  • Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$1.61bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.49% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$4,720m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$3.84 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 296.80m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.0% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.62kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, China, United States, South Korea, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in Western Africa is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors like price volatility, changing consumer preferences, and competition from alternative spreads, limiting its expansion despite rising demand for convenience foods.

Customer preferences:
In Western Africa, consumer preferences within the Margarine market are shifting towards healthier and more natural products, driven by increasing awareness of nutrition and wellness. Younger demographics are gravitating towards plant-based alternatives, reflecting a growing inclination for sustainable and ethical food choices. Additionally, urbanization and busy lifestyles are fueling demand for convenient, ready-to-use spreads. These trends highlight a cultural transition towards health consciousness and convenience, challenging traditional margarine products to innovate and adapt.

Trends in the market:
In Western Africa, the Margarine market is experiencing a significant shift towards healthier formulations, with a surge in demand for products that emphasize natural ingredients and reduced trans fats. The trend is particularly pronounced among younger consumers, who are increasingly interested in plant-based and organic options, reflecting a broader movement towards sustainability and ethical consumption. Concurrently, the rise of urban living is pushing for convenient, ready-to-use margarine products that cater to fast-paced lifestyles. This evolution presents both challenges and opportunities for industry stakeholders, necessitating innovation in product development and marketing strategies to align with evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In Western Africa, the Margarine market is shaped by diverse geographical and cultural factors, including a rich culinary heritage that influences flavor preferences and ingredient choices. Traditional cooking methods often favor local fats, creating competition for margarine products. Additionally, varying regulatory standards across countries affect product formulations and labeling, impacting consumer trust. Urbanization drives demand for convenient margarine options, while health concerns related to traditional fats encourage innovation in healthier alternatives, highlighting the need for tailored marketing strategies that resonate with local consumers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Margarine market in Western Africa is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuating commodity prices, national economic stability, and consumer purchasing power. As global oil prices rise or fall, the cost of margarine production directly impacts retail pricing and profit margins. Additionally, countries experiencing economic growth are likely to see increased demand for processed food products, including margarine, as urban households seek convenient cooking solutions. Fiscal policies promoting local agriculture can also enhance the availability of raw materials, fostering competitive pricing. Furthermore, demographic trends, such as a growing youth population, drive innovation in margarine flavors and health-focused formulations, aligning with global shifts toward healthier eating habits.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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