Milk Substitutes - Kenya

Kenya

Highlights

Revenue in the Milk Substitutes market amounts to US$16.85m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 10.48% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$10bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$0.30 are generated in 2024.
In the Milk Substitutes market, volume is expected to amount to 5.11m kg by 2029. The Milk Substitutes market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.2% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Milk Substitutes market is expected to amount to 0.1kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Milk Substitutes Market in Kenya is experiencing considerable growth, driven by factors such as increasing health consciousness, rising demand for plant-based alternatives, and the convenience of online purchasing. This growth rate is impacted by the country's growing population and changing dietary preferences.

Customer preferences: As more consumers in Kenya become health-conscious, there is a growing demand for plant-based milk substitutes such as almond, soy, and coconut milk. This trend is driven by the increasing popularity of vegan and vegetarian diets, as well as concerns about lactose intolerance and environmental sustainability. Additionally, the rise of urbanization and hectic lifestyles has led to a greater preference for on-the-go and convenient food options, further boosting the demand for milk substitutes in the country.

Trends in the market: In Kenya, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is experiencing a rise in demand for plant-based milk alternatives. This trend is driven by the increasing health consciousness among consumers and the growing vegan and vegetarian population. Additionally, there is a growing preference for dairy-free options due to lactose intolerance and environmental concerns. As a result, industry stakeholders are investing in research and development to innovate and expand their product offerings in this market segment. This trend is expected to continue, presenting opportunities for growth and competition in the milk substitutes market in Kenya.

Local special circumstances: In Kenya, the Milk Substitutes Market is heavily influenced by the country's agricultural sector, which is a major contributor to the economy. The dairy industry is regulated by the government, with strict quality standards and pricing controls. This has led to a competitive market with a focus on high-quality products. Additionally, Kenya's diverse cultural and dietary preferences have resulted in a demand for a wide variety of milk substitutes, such as soy, almond, and coconut milk. These factors contribute to a dynamic market that caters to the unique needs of the Kenyan population.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Milk Substitutes Market in Kenya is significantly impacted by macroeconomic factors such as the country's economic stability, government policies and regulations, and global trends in the food industry. Kenya's growing economy, favorable government policies, and increasing disposable income of its population have contributed to the growth of the Milk Substitutes Market. Additionally, rising health consciousness and the growing trend of veganism globally have also influenced the demand for milk substitutes in Kenya. As a result, the market is expected to experience continued growth in the coming years.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.