Tomato Ketchup - EAEU | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Tomato Ketchup market amounts to US$1.37bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.29% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated United States (US$6bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$7.50 are generated in 2024.
In the Tomato Ketchup market, volume is expected to amount to 611.90m kg by 2029. The Tomato Ketchup market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.8% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Tomato Ketchup market is expected to amount to 3.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Tomato Ketchup market covers sauces that are largely derived from tomatoes. It is frequently used as the foundation for other sauces as well as a topping or component in many different types of food, including pasta, pizza, and soups.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Tomato ketchup
Tomato-based sauces similar to ketchup
Tomato sauces
Sieved tomatoes
No added sugar tomato ketchup, flavored tomato ketchup

Other sauces (e.g. chutneys, soya sauce, mayonnaise, mustard)
Out-of-home consumption

The Tomato Ketchup market in the EAEU region is experiencing subdued growth, impacted by factors such as slow adoption of digital technologies and low health awareness among consumers. Despite the convenience of online services, the market's growth rate remains stagnant.

Customer preferences: The popularity of vegan and plant-based diets is on the rise, leading to a growing demand for meat-free versions of classic condiments like tomato ketchup. This trend is driven by health and environmental concerns, as well as the increasing availability of tasty and innovative plant-based options. Additionally, the rise of flexitarianism, where individuals primarily follow a vegetarian or vegan diet but occasionally consume meat, is also contributing to the growth of meatless condiments.

Trends in the market: In the EAEU, the Tomato Ketchup market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is experiencing a surge in demand for organic and natural ketchup alternatives. This trend is driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers and a growing preference for clean label products. Additionally, there is a rise in the popularity of ethnic and fusion flavors in ketchup, catering to diverse tastes and preferences. These trends are expected to continue, presenting opportunities for industry players to innovate and expand their product offerings.

Local special circumstances: In the EAEU, the Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is influenced by the region's strong agricultural sector and the demand for locally-sourced, natural ingredients. This is in contrast to other markets where processed foods are more popular. Additionally, the EAEU's strict labeling and certification regulations for food products impact the marketing and distribution strategies of companies in the Tomato Ketchup Market. These factors contribute to the unique dynamics of the market and require businesses to adapt their approaches accordingly.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Tomato Ketchup Market of the Sauces & Spices Market within The Food market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as changing consumer preferences towards healthier food options, increasing demand for convenience and ready-to-eat meals, and growing urbanization and disposable incomes. Countries with strong economic growth and high purchasing power are witnessing a rise in demand for premium and organic tomato ketchup products. Additionally, favorable trade policies and government initiatives to promote domestic production are also driving market growth. However, fluctuations in raw material prices and trade tensions between countries can hinder market growth.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.