Cheese - Japan

  • Japan
  • Revenue in the Cheese market amounts to US$3.46bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 1.89% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in the United States (US$32,020m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$28.20 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Cheese market, volume is expected to amount to 153.30m kg by 2029. The Cheese market is expected to show a volume growth of 0.1% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Cheese market is expected to amount to 1.2kg in 2024.

Key regions: China, South Korea, Russia, United Kingdom, India

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Cheese Market in Japan is facing negligible growth, impacted by factors such as changing consumer preferences, increasing competition, and fluctuating milk prices. Despite these challenges, the market is expected to witness modest growth due to the rising demand for healthier and premium cheese products. The convenience offered by online shopping and the growing popularity of cheese as a snack option are also contributing to the market's growth.

Customer preferences:
As urbanization and a growing focus on convenience continue to shape consumer preferences in Japan, there has been a noticeable shift towards plant-based and lactose-free cheese options in the Cheese Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market. This trend is driven by a rise in health-consciousness and dietary restrictions, with consumers seeking healthier and more inclusive choices. Additionally, the demand for premium and artisanal cheese varieties has also been on the rise, driven by a growing interest in gourmet and specialty foods.

Trends in the market:
In Japan, the Cheese Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier and more sustainable options. There is a growing demand for plant-based alternatives, as well as organic and locally-sourced cheeses. This trend is driven by increasing health consciousness and concerns over animal welfare and environmental impact. Industry stakeholders are adapting by diversifying their product offerings and investing in sustainable practices. This trend is expected to continue as consumers prioritize health and sustainability in their food choices.

Local special circumstances:
In Japan, the Cheese market is heavily influenced by the country's unique cultural and regulatory factors. For example, Japan has strict regulations on food safety and labeling, which has led to a high level of consumer trust in domestic dairy products. Additionally, Japan has a strong tradition of dairy consumption, with cheese being a popular ingredient in many traditional dishes. This has created a strong demand for locally produced cheese, resulting in a highly competitive market. Furthermore, Japan's geography and climate play a role in the types of cheese that are produced and consumed, with a focus on fresh and soft varieties due to the country's warmer climate. These factors contribute to the distinct dynamics of the Cheese market in Japan within the larger Dairy Products & Eggs Market of The Food market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Cheese Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market in Japan is significantly affected by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending power, trade policies, and government regulations. With a strong focus on health and safety, the Japanese government has implemented strict regulations on dairy product imports, creating barriers for foreign companies. However, the growing demand for dairy products, particularly cheese, among the Japanese population, driven by increasing disposable income and Westernization of food preferences, is expected to boost market growth. Additionally, the aging population in Japan has led to a rise in health-conscious individuals, increasing the demand for high-quality, nutritious dairy products, including cheese. These factors, coupled with favorable economic conditions and increasing investments in the food and beverage industry, are expected to drive the growth of the Cheese Market in Japan.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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