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  4. Bread & Cereal Products

Bread - Nepal

Nepal
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$607.20m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.12% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$19.44 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 418.90m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.3% in 2025.0.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 12.3kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Bread market covers staple items made by mixing one or more types of flour, wet ingredients, and leavening ingredients, and then baking it until it becomes firm and dry. Bread is available in a variety of shapes and flavors. Popular types of bread include white, whole wheat, and sourdough.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

For more information on the displayed data, click the info button on the right side of each box.

In-Scope

  • Bread of all types of grain is included (wheat bread, whole wheat bread, brown bread, spelt bread, cornbread, yeast bread, sourdough, rice bread, gluten-free bread, raisin/fruit bread)
  • Fresh bread, frozen bread
  • Flatbread (Tortillas), bread rolls and sliced bread (toasted bread)
  • Bagels, Ciabatta, Baguette
  • Injera, Bao Buns, Panini, Naan, Pita, English Muffin

Out-Of-Scope

  • Pastry and other bakery goods
  • Gingerbread
  • Crackers
  • Out-of-home consumption

Revenue

Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Volume

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Price

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Sales Channels

Most recent update: Nov 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Global Comparison

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Bread Market in Nepal is seeing modest growth, influenced by factors like the introduction of digital technologies, increasing health consciousness, and the convenience of online services. However, the growth rate remains minimal due to challenges in supply chain management and the impact of traditional food habits.

Customer preferences:
With the rise in consumer awareness and concerns about health and wellness, there has been a notable shift towards organic and natural bread options in the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market. This trend is driven by a growing interest in clean and sustainable food choices, as well as a rise in health-conscious consumers. In addition, there has been an increase in demand for gluten-free and plant-based bread products, catering to the preferences of a diverse consumer base.

Trends in the market:
In Nepal, the Bread Market is experiencing a surge in demand for gluten-free and organic bread products, as consumers become more health-conscious. This trend is expected to continue, with a growing focus on locally sourced ingredients and sustainable production practices. As a result, industry stakeholders are investing in research and development to cater to these preferences and stay competitive in the market. This shift towards healthier bread options has significant implications for the industry, with potential opportunities for expansion and diversification. Additionally, the rise of e-commerce platforms and online delivery services is allowing for easier access to these products, further driving their popularity.

Local special circumstances:
In Nepal, the Bread Market is heavily influenced by the country's unique geographical and cultural factors. Being a mountainous country, Nepal has limited arable land, making wheat and other grain production challenging. As a result, there is a heavy reliance on imported wheat and flour, which affects the pricing and availability of bread products. Additionally, Nepal's diverse ethnic and religious groups have their own dietary preferences, leading to a variety of bread options in the market. Moreover, government regulations on food imports and distribution also play a vital role in shaping the Bread Market of Nepal.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Nepal is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as population growth, consumer spending power, and government policies. The country's growing population and increasing disposable income are driving the demand for bread products. Furthermore, the government's efforts to promote healthy eating habits and increase access to quality food products are also contributing to the growth of the bread market. However, challenges such as inflation and trade restrictions may hinder market growth. Additionally, global economic trends, such as fluctuations in commodity prices and changes in consumer preferences, also have an impact on the bread market in Nepal.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

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