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Milk Substitutes - Africa

Africa
  • Revenue in the Milk Substitutes market amounts to US$224.60m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 18.07% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$10bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$0.17 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Milk Substitutes market, volume is expected to amount to 95.44m kg by 2029. The Milk Substitutes market is expected to show a volume growth of 11.5% in 2025.0.
  • The average volume per person in the Milk Substitutes market is expected to amount to 0.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

Milk substitutes refer to any type of milk not derived from animals. The Milk Substitutes market covers all types of plant-based milk such as soya, almond, oat, rice, coconut, spelt, and other. “Other” includes hazelnut, soya/rice blend, buckwheat, cashew, pea, millet, lupine, hemp, quinoa, flax seed, grain, etc.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram). The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

For more information on the displayed data, click the info button on the right side of each box.

In-Scope

  • Plant-based plain milk (e.g. Almond milk, soy milk, oat milk, coconut milk, rice milk, cashew milk, pea milk, hemp milk, macadamia milk, flax milk, quinoa milk, hazelnut milk, walnut milk)
  • Plant-based flavored milk
  • Unsweetened plant-based milk

Out-Of-Scope

  • Plant-based powdered milk
  • Breast-milk substitutes
  • Baby food
  • Yogurt substitutes
  • Cheese substitutes
  • Out-of-home consumption

Revenue

Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Volume

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Price

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Global Comparison

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Milk Substitutes Market in Africa is experiencing average growth, driven by factors such as increasing health consciousness among consumers and the convenience of online health services. This growth is impacted by the rising demand for dairy-free alternatives and the growing health and wellness trend in the region.

Customer preferences:
As consumers in Africa become more health-conscious, there has been a rise in demand for plant-based milk substitutes. This trend is driven by cultural preferences for lactose-free alternatives and a growing awareness of the health benefits of non-dairy options. Additionally, the increasing availability of these products in local markets and the convenience of online shopping have contributed to their popularity.

Trends in the market:
In Africa, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market market is experiencing a shift towards non-dairy alternatives due to the increasing demand for plant-based products. This trend is expected to continue, driven by health and environmental concerns. Additionally, technological advancements in the production of milk substitutes, such as the use of pea protein and oat milk, are further fueling the growth of this market. For industry stakeholders, this presents opportunities for innovation and diversification to cater to the changing consumer preferences. However, it also poses a challenge for traditional dairy companies to adapt and compete in this evolving landscape.

Local special circumstances:
In Africa, the Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by cultural and geographical factors. With a large population dependent on agriculture and traditional dairy products, there is a reluctance to shift to milk substitutes. Additionally, regulatory restrictions and limited access to technology hinder the growth of this market in certain regions. However, with the increasing urbanization and health-consciousness, there is a growing demand for plant-based milk substitutes in urban areas. Furthermore, the rising trend of veganism and lactose intolerance is also driving the growth of this market in certain African countries, such as South Africa and Egypt.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Milk Substitutes Market of the Dairy Products & Eggs Market within The Food market in Africa is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors. The growth of this market is impacted by global economic trends, including fluctuations in commodity prices and currency exchange rates. Additionally, the national economic health of African countries plays a significant role, as well as fiscal policies and financial indicators such as consumer spending power, inflation rates, and trade policies. These factors can affect the production, distribution, and pricing of milk substitutes, ultimately impacting market performance. Moreover, factors such as government subsidies and investments in the dairy sector also play a crucial role in the growth of this market in Africa.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

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