Bread - Serbia

  • Serbia
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$0.64bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.34% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$90.76 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 251.20m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.1% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 32.6kg in 2024.

Key regions: India, United States, Japan, United Kingdom, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread market in Serbia has seen minimal growth due to factors such as shifting consumer preferences towards healthier options and the emergence of alternative breakfast options. Despite this, the market is expected to continue growing due to the convenience and affordability of bread products.

Customer preferences:
As consumers become more health-conscious, there has been a growing demand for gluten-free and organic bread options in Serbia. This trend is driven by the rise of health and wellness movements, as well as the increasing number of individuals with gluten intolerance or celiac disease. Additionally, there has been a shift towards more artisanal and locally sourced bread, reflecting a preference for quality and sustainability among Serbian consumers.

Trends in the market:
In Serbia, there is a growing demand for healthier bread options, such as whole grain and gluten-free varieties. This trend is driven by an increased awareness of the importance of a balanced diet and a growing number of consumers with dietary restrictions. As a result, the bread market in Serbia is expected to see a shift towards more nutritious and specialty bread options. This trend is significant as it presents opportunities for bread manufacturers to diversify their product offerings and cater to a wider range of consumer preferences. Additionally, it could lead to a more competitive market as companies strive to differentiate themselves through innovation and quality. However, this trend could also pose challenges for smaller bread producers who may struggle to keep up with the demand for these specialized products. Overall, the current trajectory of this trend points towards a potential growth in the bread market in Serbia, but it also highlights the need for companies to adapt and stay on top of evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In Serbia, the Bread Market is heavily influenced by the country's rich tradition of bread-making, with many local bakeries still using traditional recipes and techniques. Additionally, the market is affected by the country's economic situation, with consumers often opting for more affordable bread options. The regulatory environment also plays a role, with strict labeling and production regulations in place. This creates a unique market where traditional and affordable bread options coexist with modern and regulated ones, catering to a diverse consumer base.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Serbia is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending power, inflation rates, and government policies. With a recovering economy and increasing disposable income, consumers are more likely to purchase premium and specialty bread products. However, high inflation rates and rising food prices have also led to a shift towards more affordable options. Government policies promoting food security and supporting domestic agriculture also impact the market, as local production and import regulations can affect the availability and pricing of bread products.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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