Margarine - Ethiopia | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$146.00m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 15.56% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$1.12 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 29.12m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.1% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.19kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine Market in Ethiopia is witnessing steady growth, influenced by factors such as increasing urbanization, changing dietary preferences, and a rising demand for affordable cooking fats. These elements collectively contribute to a moderate growth rate in the sector.

Customer preferences: Ethiopian consumers are increasingly prioritizing health-conscious choices, leading to a notable shift towards margarine products that offer lower trans fats and added vitamins. Additionally, the growing influence of Western culinary practices is driving demand for diverse margarine flavors and spreads suitable for various dishes. As urban living becomes more prevalent, busy lifestyles are prompting a preference for convenient cooking solutions, with many opting for ready-to-use margarine over traditional fats. This evolving landscape reflects a blend of traditional dietary habits and modern culinary trends.

Trends in the market: In Ethiopia, the margarine market is experiencing a significant shift towards health-oriented products, as consumers increasingly seek options with lower trans fats and enhanced nutritional value. The influence of Western culinary trends is evident, with a rising demand for diverse margarine flavors and spreads that cater to various dishes. Urbanization and busy lifestyles are driving the preference for convenient cooking solutions, leading many to choose ready-to-use margarine over traditional fats. This evolving landscape presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate and adapt their offerings, ensuring they meet the changing preferences of health-conscious consumers.

Local special circumstances: In Ethiopia, the margarine market is uniquely shaped by a blend of traditional dietary practices and modern health trends. The country's diverse geography influences local food production, leading to a rich variety of natural oils and fats that inform consumer preferences. Culturally, traditional Ethiopian dishes often rely on clarified butter (kibe), creating competition for margarine. Additionally, regulatory frameworks promoting food safety and nutritional standards are evolving, encouraging manufacturers to develop healthier margarine options. This dynamic landscape presents opportunities for innovative products that respect local culinary traditions while addressing health concerns.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The margarine market in Ethiopia is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic growth, inflation rates, and consumer purchasing power. A steady increase in GDP can enhance disposable income, allowing consumers to explore margarine options beyond traditional fats like kibe. Conversely, high inflation can constrain spending on non-essential food items. Additionally, government fiscal policies that support local agricultural production can impact the availability of raw materials for margarine manufacturing. Global trends towards healthier eating and sustainability also affect market dynamics, as consumers increasingly seek products that align with these values, prompting local manufacturers to innovate within the margarine segment.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.