Bread - Ethiopia | Statista Market Forecast

Bread - Ethiopia

Ethiopia

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$2.57bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 18.43% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$19.82 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 1.43bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 9.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 8.4kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Bread market in Ethiopia is witnessing considerable growth, propelled by factors such as increasing demand for convenience food, rising awareness about healthy eating, and the availability of online purchase options.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Ethiopia are increasingly demanding more variety in the bread market, with a growing interest in whole grain and gluten-free options. This trend is driven by the rising health consciousness among the population, as well as an increase in disposable income. Furthermore, the influence of Western lifestyles and diets has also led to a shift towards more premium and artisanal bread products, particularly among urban consumers. This has created opportunities for new players to enter the market, offering a wider range of bread options to cater to evolving consumer preferences.

Trends in the market: In Ethiopia, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a significant shift towards healthier options. This trend is driven by increasing awareness of the importance of a balanced diet and the health benefits of whole grain bread. Furthermore, there is a growing demand for gluten-free and organic bread products. This trajectory is expected to continue as more consumers prioritize their health and seek out nutritious options. This trend has implications for industry stakeholders as they may need to adapt their product offerings to meet the changing demands of the market. Additionally, there is an opportunity for market players to capitalize on this trend by investing in research and development to create innovative and healthy bread products.

Local special circumstances: In Ethiopia, bread holds cultural significance and is considered a staple food in the traditional cuisine. This has led to a high demand for bread in the country, with a large portion of the population relying on it as a main source of sustenance. Additionally, Ethiopia's geographical location and climate make it ideal for growing wheat, the primary ingredient in bread. However, the country's regulatory environment poses challenges for the bread market, with strict government control over pricing and distribution. These unique factors contribute to the dynamics of the bread market in Ethiopia, setting it apart from other markets in the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as population growth, urbanization, and changing consumer preferences. As the population in Ethiopia continues to grow, there is a higher demand for convenient and affordable food options, leading to an increase in bread consumption. Additionally, the country's rapid urbanization has resulted in a growing middle-class population with higher disposable incomes, driving the demand for premium and healthier bread options. Moreover, the government's investment in agriculture and food processing infrastructure has supported the growth of the bread market by improving supply chain efficiency and product quality. These factors, coupled with the increasing focus on healthy and convenient food choices, are expected to continue driving the growth of the bread market in Ethiopia.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.