Oils & Fats - Ethiopia

Ethiopia

Highlights

Revenue in the Oils & Fats market amounts to US$963.00m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 21.22% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$46bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$7.42 are generated in 2024.
In the Oils & Fats market, volume is expected to amount to 182.90m kg by 2029. The Oils & Fats market is expected to show a volume growth of 11.2% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Oils & Fats market is expected to amount to 1.0kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureReportsMethodology

The Oils & Fats market in Ethiopia is witnessing considerable growth, fueled by factors such as increasing consumer demand for diverse cooking options, a shift towards healthier dietary choices, and rising production capacities of local manufacturers.

Customer preferences: In Ethiopia, consumers are increasingly gravitating towards healthier oils, such as olive and avocado oil, reflecting a growing awareness of the importance of nutrition in traditional diets. This shift is further influenced by urbanization and the influx of younger, health-conscious demographics seeking convenient cooking solutions. Additionally, the rise of social media is driving interest in culinary experimentation, prompting demand for diverse oils that cater to both traditional and modern cooking practices, thus reshaping the Oils & Fats market landscape.

Trends in the market: In Ethiopia, the Oils & Fats market is experiencing a significant shift towards healthier options, with consumers increasingly favoring oils like olive and avocado due to heightened nutritional awareness. Urbanization and a younger demographic are driving this trend, as health-conscious individuals seek convenient cooking solutions. Furthermore, social media is fostering culinary creativity, leading to a demand for diverse oils that blend traditional and contemporary cooking methods. This evolving landscape presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate and cater to changing consumer preferences, ultimately reshaping market dynamics.

Local special circumstances: In Ethiopia, the Oils & Fats market is shaped by unique geographical and cultural factors, as the country boasts a rich history of traditional cooking oils like sesame and niger seed oil. The diverse climate allows for the cultivation of various oil-producing crops, fostering local production. Additionally, cultural preferences and traditional dietary practices influence consumer choices, with an increasing interest in health benefits driving demand for oils with nutritional value. Regulatory support for local agriculture is further promoting the market's growth, as consumers seek both authenticity and healthier alternatives in their culinary practices.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Oils & Fats market in Ethiopia is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as agricultural productivity, trade policies, and global commodity prices. Favorable weather conditions and investment in agricultural technology are enhancing local oilseed production, which supports market growth. Additionally, fluctuations in global oil prices impact domestic pricing and availability, affecting consumer purchasing behavior. National economic health, reflected in GDP growth and inflation rates, also plays a crucial role, as rising incomes lead to increased demand for diverse and higher-quality oil products. Furthermore, government fiscal policies aimed at boosting local agriculture foster a more robust market environment, encouraging both innovation and consumer trust in locally produced oils.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.