Margarine - LATAM | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$4.85bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.88% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$7.62 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 1.46bn kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.3% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 2.08kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in LATAM is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as changing consumer preferences, competition from healthier alternatives, and economic challenges affecting purchasing power.

Customer preferences: In LATAM, consumers are gravitating towards healthier dietary choices, which has led to a decline in traditional margarine consumption. Increasing awareness of nutrition is prompting a shift towards plant-based alternatives and healthier fats, such as avocado and olive oil. Additionally, younger demographics, influenced by social media trends, are prioritizing clean-label products with natural ingredients. This change reflects a broader cultural movement towards wellness and sustainability, further challenging the growth of conventional margarine in the oils and fats market.

Trends in the market: In LATAM, the margarine market is experiencing a significant shift as consumers increasingly seek healthier dietary options. This trend is marked by a growing preference for natural fats such as avocado and olive oil, which are perceived as more wholesome alternatives to traditional margarine. The influence of younger demographics, particularly those active on social media, has amplified the demand for clean-label products that emphasize transparency and natural ingredients. This cultural movement towards wellness and sustainability presents both challenges and opportunities for industry stakeholders, urging them to innovate and adapt their product lines to meet evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In LATAM, the margarine market is shaped by diverse cultural preferences and local culinary traditions that vary significantly across countries. In places like Mexico, traditional cooking methods often incorporate lard, which impacts margarine's acceptance. Additionally, regulatory frameworks around food labeling and health claims are becoming stricter, pushing companies to adapt formulations to meet local standards. Furthermore, the rising interest in plant-based diets and local superfoods, such as native oils, is leading brands to reformulate products, emphasizing health benefits and sustainability to resonate with the conscious consumer base.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The margarine market in LATAM is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as fluctuating commodity prices, inflation rates, and currency stability. Countries experiencing economic growth tend to show increased consumer spending on processed foods, including margarine. Additionally, national fiscal policies, such as subsidies for agricultural products, can affect the cost of raw materials used in margarine production. Moreover, global trends towards healthier eating and sustainability are prompting local manufacturers to innovate and adapt their offerings, responding to rising consumer awareness about nutrition and environmental impact, ultimately shaping market dynamics.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.