Fresh Fruits - GCC

  • GCC
  • Revenue in the Fresh Fruits market amounts to US$10.13bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.86% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in India (US$116bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$167.80 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Fresh Fruits market, volume is expected to amount to 3.76bn kg by 2029. The Fresh Fruits market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.1% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Fresh Fruits market is expected to amount to 57.2kg in 2024.

Key regions: Canada, Spain, Russia, South Korea, Philippines

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Fresh Fruits Market in the GCC is witnessing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating consumer preferences, seasonal availability, and competition from imported fruits, which affect overall demand and pricing dynamics in the region.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in the GCC are increasingly leaning towards organic and locally sourced fresh fruits, driven by a heightened awareness of health and sustainability. This shift is particularly evident among younger demographics who prioritize natural and chemical-free produce, reflecting a growing cultural emphasis on wellness. Additionally, the rise of e-commerce platforms is transforming purchasing behaviors, as consumers seek convenience and variety in their fruit selections. Seasonal fruit festivals and local farmer markets are also gaining popularity, fostering community engagement and promoting fresh produce consumption.

Trends in the market:
In the GCC, the Fresh Fruits Market is experiencing a significant shift towards organic and locally sourced produce, largely fueled by a growing consumer preference for health and sustainability. Younger demographics are leading this trend, emphasizing the importance of natural and chemical-free options. Moreover, e-commerce platforms are reshaping buying habits, providing consumers with greater convenience and access to diverse fruit selections. Seasonal fruit festivals and local farmers' markets are also becoming more popular, enhancing community ties and encouraging increased consumption of fresh produce, which presents opportunities and challenges for industry stakeholders in adapting to these evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In the GCC, the Fresh Fruits Market is uniquely influenced by the region's arid climate and limited arable land, leading to a reliance on imports and a growing emphasis on hydroponics and vertical farming. Cultural preferences for specific fruits, such as dates and citrus, drive demand for local varieties, while regulatory measures promote organic farming initiatives to ensure food safety. Additionally, the burgeoning expatriate population introduces diverse fruit demands, prompting retailers to adapt their offerings and marketing strategies to cater to varied tastes and preferences.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Fresh Fruits Market in the GCC is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global trade dynamics, national economic stability, and consumer spending patterns. The region's heavy reliance on fruit imports is affected by fluctuations in global commodity prices and supply chain disruptions. Economic diversification efforts and government initiatives to bolster local agriculture, including investments in sustainable farming technologies, are reshaping market dynamics. Furthermore, rising disposable incomes among consumers are driving demand for premium and organic fruit options, while inflationary pressures may impact purchasing behavior, leading to a shift towards more affordable alternatives.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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