Rice - Indonesia

  • Indonesia
  • Revenue in the Rice market amounts to US$27.72bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.82% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$149,900m in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$97.78 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Rice market, volume is expected to amount to 25.53bn kg by 2029. The Rice market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.7% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Rice market is expected to amount to 78.8kg in 2024.

Key regions: Spain, China, Canada, India, South Korea

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Rice Market in Indonesia has seen minimal growth due to factors such as low consumer awareness, limited digital technologies, and traditional purchasing habits. Despite these challenges, the market is slowly adapting to online platforms and is expected to experience gradual growth in the coming years.

Customer preferences:
As Indonesia's middle class continues to expand, there has been a growing interest in health and wellness, leading to a shift towards healthier food options. This has resulted in a rise in demand for organic and whole grain rice, as well as gluten-free and low-carb options. Additionally, there has been an increase in the consumption of rice-based snacks and convenience products, catering to the busy lifestyles of urban consumers. This trend is expected to continue as health consciousness and convenience remain key factors in consumer choices.

Trends in the market:
In Indonesia, the Rice Market within the Bread & Cereal Products Market is experiencing a trend towards healthier and more sustainable options. This is driven by a growing consumer awareness of the health benefits of whole grains and a desire for environmentally-friendly products. As a result, there has been an increase in demand for organic, non-GMO, and locally-sourced rice. This trend is expected to continue, with potential implications for industry stakeholders such as farmers, retailers, and manufacturers, who may need to adapt their production and marketing strategies to meet changing consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In Indonesia, rice is a staple food and plays a significant role in the culture and cuisine. The country's diverse geography and climate allow for the production of various types of rice, such as aromatic, glutinous, and wild rice. This diversity, along with the government's efforts to promote rice self-sufficiency, has led to a highly competitive and fragmented rice market. Additionally, Indonesia's large population and increasing urbanization have created a demand for convenient and affordable rice products, leading to the popularity of instant and packaged rice options. Government regulations also play a crucial role in the rice market, with policies such as import restrictions and price controls shaping market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Rice Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Indonesia is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as national economic health and government fiscal policies. The country's strong economic growth and stable inflation rates have contributed to the increasing demand for rice, a staple food in Indonesia. Additionally, the government's policies to support rice production and ensure food security have positively impacted the market. However, global economic trends, such as fluctuations in exchange rates and trade policies, can also significantly affect the rice market in Indonesia. Furthermore, the country's growing population and changing dietary preferences towards healthier options are also driving the demand for rice in the market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Demographics
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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