Bread - Cuba

  • Cuba
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$0.67bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 4.38% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$60.32 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 295.90m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.7% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 24.6kg in 2024.

Key regions: India, United States, Japan, United Kingdom, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread market in Cuba is seeing minimal growth due to factors such as low consumer purchasing power, limited variety of products, and traditional preferences for homemade bread. These factors are impacting the market's growth rate, making it negligible.

Customer preferences:
In Cuba, traditional breads such as pan cubano and pan de agua continue to dominate the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market. However, there is a growing demand for healthier and gluten-free options, driven by the rising health-consciousness among consumers. This trend is also influenced by the increasing number of tourists and expats with different dietary preferences. To cater to these changing preferences, bakeries are now offering a variety of artisanal and gourmet breads made with natural and organic ingredients.

Trends in the market:
In Cuba, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers. This trend is expected to continue, with more manufacturers focusing on producing whole grain and gluten-free breads. Additionally, there is a growing demand for artisanal and traditional breads, reflecting a desire for authentic and locally-sourced products. These trends present an opportunity for industry stakeholders to diversify their product offerings and cater to evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances:
In Cuba, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's unique political and economic situation. Due to government control over the food industry, there is limited variety and availability of bread products. This has led to a rise in home baking and a thriving black market for bread. In addition, the country's heavy reliance on imports for wheat and other ingredients has resulted in fluctuating prices and shortages. These factors greatly impact the bread market in Cuba, making it unlike any other market in the world.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as changing consumer preferences, increasing disposable income, and the growing trend towards health and wellness. As more consumers prioritize healthier food options, the demand for whole grain and gluten-free bread products is rising. Furthermore, the rising GDP and improving economic conditions in Cuba are expected to boost consumer spending on food products, including bread. Additionally, the government's efforts to improve food security by investing in agricultural production and infrastructure development are expected to positively impact the bread market in Cuba.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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