Margarine - Timor-Leste | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$1.71m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.60% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$1.24 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 472.80k kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.6% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.26kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine Market in Timor-Leste has been experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors such as limited consumer awareness, traditional preferences for butter, and challenges in distribution logistics impacting product availability and variety.

Customer preferences: In Timor-Leste, there is a gradual shift in consumer preferences towards healthier and more convenient food options, influencing the margarine market. With rising health awareness, particularly among younger demographics, there is an increasing interest in plant-based and low-fat alternatives. Additionally, urbanization is leading to busier lifestyles, prompting consumers to seek easy-to-use spreads for quick meal preparations. This evolution in taste and lifestyle is encouraging brands to adapt their offerings, promoting margarine as a versatile and healthier choice compared to traditional butter.

Trends in the market: In Timor-Leste, the margarine market is experiencing a notable trend towards healthier and more convenient food options, driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers. Younger demographics are particularly inclined towards plant-based and low-fat alternatives, reflecting a significant shift in dietary preferences. Urbanization is further accelerating this trend, as busy lifestyles lead consumers to seek quick and easy spreads for meal preparation. This evolving landscape compels industry stakeholders to innovate and diversify their product offerings, positioning margarine as a versatile, healthier alternative to traditional butter, thereby enhancing market competitiveness and consumer engagement.

Local special circumstances: In Timor-Leste, the margarine market is uniquely influenced by the country's tropical climate, which affects the availability of local oils and fats. Additionally, traditional culinary practices that favor coconut oil and local butter alternatives create competition for margarine. Cultural preferences for fresh, home-cooked meals also shape consumer attitudes towards processed spreads. Furthermore, regulatory frameworks promoting healthier food options encourage manufacturers to reformulate products, aligning with the growing demand for nutritious, convenient choices among urban consumers.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The margarine market in Timor-Leste is significantly shaped by macroeconomic factors such as national economic stability, trade policies, and global commodity prices. Economic growth in the region influences consumer purchasing power, thereby affecting the demand for margarine versus traditional fats. Fluctuations in global oil prices can impact the cost of raw materials, leading to price adjustments in margarine products. Additionally, government initiatives aimed at promoting healthier eating habits and local agricultural development create opportunities for market expansion. As urbanization increases, the demand for convenient, affordable food options further drives growth in the margarine sector.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.