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  4. Bread & Cereal Products

Bread - Timor-Leste

Timor-Leste
  • Revenue in the Bread market amounts to US$32.52m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.77% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$80bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$23.57 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 49.24m kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 10.9% in 2025.0.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 25.7kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Bread market covers staple items made by mixing one or more types of flour, wet ingredients, and leavening ingredients, and then baking it until it becomes firm and dry. Bread is available in a variety of shapes and flavors. Popular types of bread include white, whole wheat, and sourdough.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

For more information on the displayed data, click the info button on the right side of each box.

In-Scope

  • Bread of all types of grain is included (wheat bread, whole wheat bread, brown bread, spelt bread, cornbread, yeast bread, sourdough, rice bread, gluten-free bread, raisin/fruit bread)
  • Fresh bread, frozen bread
  • Flatbread (Tortillas), bread rolls and sliced bread (toasted bread)
  • Bagels, Ciabatta, Baguette
  • Injera, Bao Buns, Panini, Naan, Pita, English Muffin

Out-Of-Scope

  • Pastry and other bakery goods
  • Gingerbread
  • Crackers
  • Out-of-home consumption

Revenue

Notes: Data was converted from local currencies using average exchange rates of the respective year.

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Volume

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Price

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Sales Channels

Most recent update: Nov 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Global Comparison

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

Analyst Opinion

The Bread market in Timor-Leste is experiencing subdued growth due to factors such as low purchasing power, limited consumer awareness, and high reliance on traditional markets. Despite this, the market is expected to grow steadily in the coming years.

Customer preferences:
As Timor-Leste continues to modernize and urbanize, the demand for convenience and variety in the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market has increased. This has led to a rise in demand for packaged bread options, such as sliced bread and buns, as well as the introduction of new flavors and varieties. Additionally, there is a growing interest in healthier options, such as whole grain and gluten-free bread, as consumers become more health-conscious. The rise in disposable income has also resulted in a shift towards premium and artisanal bread products, catering to the evolving tastes and preferences of the Timorese consumers.

Trends in the market:
In Timor-Leste, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a surge in demand for gluten-free and whole grain bread options. This trend is driven by a growing awareness of the health benefits of these products and a shift towards healthier dietary choices. Additionally, there is a rising interest in traditional Timorese bread varieties, such as cassava and banana bread, among consumers. This trend is expected to continue in the coming years, presenting opportunities for industry stakeholders to diversify their product offerings and cater to the evolving tastes and preferences of consumers.

Local special circumstances:
In Timor-Leste, the Bread Market is heavily influenced by the country's geography and infrastructure. The mountainous terrain and lack of proper road networks make transportation and distribution of bread products challenging, resulting in higher prices for consumers. Additionally, the traditional cultural practices of subsistence farming limit the demand for processed bread products, as many households prefer home-cooked meals. Furthermore, the government's regulations on imported goods further restrict the variety and availability of bread options in the market, creating a unique set of challenges for businesses operating in this sector. These factors ultimately shape the dynamics of the Bread Market in Timor-Leste, setting it apart from other markets within the Bread & Cereal Products Market in The Food market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in Timor-Leste is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global economic trends, national economic health, and fiscal policies. With a developing economy and high levels of poverty, Timor-Leste faces challenges in terms of consumer purchasing power and infrastructure for food production and distribution. Additionally, fluctuations in global commodity prices and international trade agreements also impact the market, as bread and cereal products are often imported. The country's efforts to improve economic stability and attract foreign investment will be key in driving growth in the bread market.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Key Market Indicators

Notes: Based on data from IMF, World Bank, UN and Eurostat

Most recent update: Sep 2024

Source: Statista Market Insights

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