Fresh Fruits - Timor-Leste | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Fresh Fruits market amounts to US$42.91m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 6.66% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$116bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$31.09 are generated in 2024.
In the Fresh Fruits market, volume is expected to amount to 20.00m kg by 2029. The Fresh Fruits market is expected to show a volume growth of 6.7% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Fresh Fruits market is expected to amount to 11.6kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Fresh Fruits market covers all types of fresh fruit that haven't been canned, frozen, dehydrated, or preserved in any way. This market is divided into five submarkets: apples & pears, bananas, berries & grapes, citrus fruits, and other fresh fruits such as peaches, mangos, pineapples, plums, and kiwis.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Apples & pears
Bananas
Berries & grapes
Citrus fruits
Stone and exotic fruits

Processed, dried and frozen fruits
Nuts
Mix cut fruit boxes
Out-of-home consumption

The Fresh Fruits Market in Timor-Leste is experiencing minimal growth, influenced by factors like limited agricultural diversity, fluctuating consumer demand, and challenges in supply chain logistics that hinder the availability of various fresh fruit options.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Timor-Leste are exhibiting a growing preference for organic and locally sourced fresh fruits, driven by an increasing awareness of health and nutrition. This shift is influenced by a younger demographic seeking healthier lifestyles and a connection to their cultural heritage. Additionally, urbanization is prompting changes in consumption patterns, with more individuals valuing convenience and accessibility. Social media is playing a pivotal role in shaping these preferences, as consumers share recipes and fruit-based dietary tips, further promoting the demand for diverse fruit options.

Trends in the market: In Timor-Leste, the fresh fruits market is experiencing a notable shift towards organic and locally sourced produce, driven by a heightened awareness of health and wellness among consumers. This trend is particularly evident among younger demographics who prioritize sustainable and nutritious food options that resonate with their cultural roots. Urbanization is reshaping consumption behaviors, with a growing demand for convenient access to fresh fruits. Additionally, social media platforms are amplifying these preferences, as users exchange healthy recipes and fruit-based dietary tips, fostering a vibrant community around diverse fruit choices. This evolution presents significant opportunities for local farmers and retailers to align their offerings with consumer values, enhancing market viability and resilience.

Local special circumstances: In Timor-Leste, the fresh fruits market is shaped by its unique geographical landscape and rich cultural heritage. The country's varied climate supports a diverse range of tropical fruits, which are integral to local diets and traditions. Furthermore, community-based agricultural practices emphasize organic farming methods, fostering a deeper connection between consumers and producers. Regulatory support for sustainable agriculture is promoting eco-friendly practices, while urban migration fuels demand for fresh, accessible fruits. These factors collectively enhance the market's potential for growth and sustainability.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Fresh Fruits Market in Timor-Leste is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global trade dynamics, national agricultural policies, and economic development initiatives. Fluctuations in global fruit prices and trade agreements affect the market's competitiveness, while the government's focus on improving agricultural infrastructure and access to financing supports local farmers. Additionally, rising disposable incomes and changing consumer preferences towards healthy diets drive demand for fresh fruits. The interplay of these factors, along with the commitment to sustainable agricultural practices, positions the market for growth and resilience in an evolving economic landscape.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

The fresh produce department is often counted as being one of the main determinants among consumers when selecting a grocery store. In 2022, the fruit and vegetable market in the U.S. was valued at over 5.8 billion U.S. dollars. In the same year, the sales of fresh fruit made up 45 percent of produce sales in the U.S., making it one of the most lucrative fresh food categories. In order to help drive sales, producers frequently launch in-store marketing campaigns. Ideas range from promoting the healthy benefits of fruit, to offering convenient, value-added snack-size options.