Fresh Fish - Timor-Leste

  • Timor-Leste
  • Revenue in the Fresh Fish market amounts to US$145.10m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 14.53% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$55bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$105.10 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Fresh Fish market, volume is expected to amount to 15.52m kg by 2029. The Fresh Fish market is expected to show a volume growth of 16.2% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Fresh Fish market is expected to amount to 6.4kg in 2024.

Key regions: Russia, South Korea, Canada, United States, Philippines

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Fresh Fish Market in Timor-Leste has seen moderate growth due to factors such as increasing consumer demand for seafood, growing health awareness, and the convenience of online fish markets. However, subdued growth in the overall food market is impacting its growth rate.

Customer preferences:
With the growing popularity of sustainable living and healthy eating, consumers in Timor-Leste are increasingly seeking fresh and locally sourced fish. This trend is driven by a desire for more environmentally friendly and nutritious food options. Additionally, the country's younger population is showing a preference for convenient and ready-to-eat seafood products, reflecting a shift towards a more fast-paced lifestyle.

Trends in the market:
In Timor-Leste, the Fresh Fish Market of the Fish & Seafood Market within The Food market is seeing a rise in demand for sustainably sourced and locally caught fish. This trend is driven by increasing awareness of the importance of sustainable fishing practices and the potential health benefits of consuming fresh, local fish. This trajectory is significant for industry stakeholders as it presents opportunities for market growth and diversification. However, it also poses challenges in terms of supply chain management and ensuring sustainable fishing practices are adhered to. Additionally, there is a potential for increased competition from imported seafood products.

Local special circumstances:
In Timor-Leste, the Fresh Fish Market of the Fish & Seafood Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by its unique geographical and cultural factors. Being an island nation, seafood is a staple in the local diet and plays a significant role in the country's economy. However, due to its remote location and limited infrastructure, Timor-Leste's fish market faces challenges in maintaining a consistent supply chain and meeting international standards. Additionally, traditional fishing methods and cultural practices also shape the market, with a preference for fresh, locally sourced seafood. These factors contribute to the distinct dynamics of the Fresh Fish Market in Timor-Leste, setting it apart from other markets in the region.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Fresh Fish Market of the Fish & Seafood Market within The Food market in Timor-Leste is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as global economic trends, national economic health, fiscal policies, and other relevant financial indicators. Timor-Leste's economy has been steadily growing, driven by its oil and gas sector, which accounts for the majority of its export revenue. This has improved the purchasing power of consumers, leading to increased demand for fresh fish and seafood. Additionally, the government's fiscal policies, such as subsidies and tax incentives, have played a crucial role in supporting the growth of the market. Furthermore, the country's strategic location in the Asia-Pacific region has enabled it to tap into the growing demand for seafood in neighboring countries, further boosting the market's performance.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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