Margarine - Sri Lanka | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Margarine market amounts to US$71.05m in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 7.99% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (US$5bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$3.24 are generated in 2024.
In the Margarine market, volume is expected to amount to 16.54m kg by 2029. The Margarine market is expected to show a volume growth of 3.2% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Margarine market is expected to amount to 0.68kg in 2024.

Definition:

Margarine is a butter substitute made from vegetable oils and contains a minimum of 80% fat. Margarine is typically less expensive and has less saturated fat than butter.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Regular margarine
Light or reduced-fat margarine
Soft margarine
Non-hydrogenated margarine
Cholesterol-free margarine
Vanaspati

Butter
Vegetable oils
Animal fats (e.g. lard)
Peanut butter
Out-of-home consumption

The Margarine market within the Oils & Fats sector in Sri Lanka is experiencing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as shifting consumer preferences, competition from healthier alternatives, and fluctuating raw material prices impacting overall demand.

Customer preferences: Consumers in Sri Lanka are shifting towards health-conscious choices, prompting a decline in traditional margarine consumption. This trend is particularly influenced by rising awareness of heart health and the benefits of natural fats, such as coconut and olive oils. Additionally, younger consumers are gravitating towards plant-based and organic options, reflecting a broader global movement towards sustainability. Cultural preferences for traditional cooking methods also play a role, as households increasingly prefer ghee or butter over margarine, impacting market dynamics significantly.

Trends in the market: In Sri Lanka, the Margarine Market is experiencing a notable shift towards health-centric alternatives, as consumers increasingly prioritize heart health and natural fats. The growing popularity of coconut and olive oils reflects a significant change in dietary preferences, particularly among younger generations who favor plant-based and organic products. Furthermore, traditional cooking practices are steering households towards ghee and butter, leading to a decline in margarine consumption. This trend poses challenges for industry stakeholders, prompting them to innovate product offerings and marketing strategies to align with evolving consumer values and preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Sri Lanka, the Margarine Market is shaped by a unique blend of cultural practices and local dietary habits. The island's rich culinary heritage emphasizes the use of traditional fats like coconut oil and ghee, which are preferred for their natural flavors and health benefits. Additionally, the regulatory environment promotes the use of local ingredients, encouraging manufacturers to adapt their products accordingly. As health awareness rises, consumers are increasingly skeptical of processed alternatives, impacting margarine's appeal and prompting brands to reformulate offerings that align with local tastes and nutritional values.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Margarine Market in Sri Lanka is significantly influenced by macroeconomic factors such as consumer income levels, inflation rates, and overall economic stability. As the national economy experiences fluctuations, disposable income directly affects purchasing power, leading consumers to prioritize traditional fats over margarine. Furthermore, global trends in health and wellness are prompting shifts in dietary preferences, with an emphasis on natural ingredients. Fiscal policies that support local agriculture can enhance the supply chain for margarine producers, while volatile commodity prices for essential oils and fats may impact production costs and pricing strategies.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.