Bread & Cereal Products - Sri Lanka

  • Sri Lanka
  • Revenue in the Bread & Bakery Products market amounts to US$4.82bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 9.13% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$278bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$219.40 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread & Bakery Products market, volume is expected to amount to 2,910.00m kg by 2029. The Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.4% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to amount to 114.0kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, United States, Canada, India, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread & Cereal Products market in Sri Lanka has seen moderate growth due to factors such as increasing health consciousness, growing urbanization, and availability of diverse cereal options. However, the market's growth rate remains subdued due to challenges such as high competition, fluctuating prices of raw materials, and changing consumer preferences.

Customer preferences:
As Sri Lankan consumers become more health-conscious, there is a growing demand for gluten-free and healthier bread and cereal options. This trend is driven by a combination of factors, including a rise in chronic health conditions, changing dietary preferences, and an increasing awareness of the benefits of a balanced diet. As a result, there has been a surge in the market for organic and whole grain bread and cereal products, catering to the growing demand for healthier alternatives.

Trends in the market:
In Sri Lanka, the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a surge in demand for healthier options, such as whole grain and gluten-free products. This trend is driven by an increase in health-conscious consumers and a growing awareness of the benefits of a balanced diet. As a result, food manufacturers are offering a wider variety of options to cater to this demand. This trajectory is significant as it reflects a shift towards healthier eating habits and presents opportunities for industry stakeholders to innovate and expand their product offerings. However, it also poses challenges for traditional bread and cereal producers who may need to adapt to stay competitive in the market.

Local special circumstances:
In Sri Lanka, the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is heavily influenced by the country's tropical climate and agricultural practices. The availability of local grains and crops such as rice, wheat, and corn plays a significant role in shaping the market. Additionally, cultural factors such as the preference for traditional breakfast items like hoppers and string hoppers also impact the demand for cereal products. Furthermore, the government's regulations on food imports and subsidies for local farmers also contribute to market dynamics.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread & Cereal Products Market in Sri Lanka is greatly impacted by macroeconomic factors such as the country's economic growth, trade policies, and consumer spending habits. As a developing country, Sri Lanka has experienced steady economic growth in recent years, leading to an increase in disposable income and consumer purchasing power. This has resulted in a growing demand for convenient and affordable food products, including bread and cereals. Additionally, government initiatives to promote domestic agriculture have led to increased production of grains and cereals, further driving market growth. However, fluctuating global commodity prices and trade policies can impact the cost of imported ingredients, which can affect market stability and pricing. Furthermore, as Sri Lanka continues to develop, consumer preferences and dietary habits are evolving, leading to a shift towards healthier and more nutritious food options, including whole grain bread and cereals. This trend is expected to continue, driven by global health awareness and an aging population seeking healthier food choices.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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