Fresh Fruits - Kazakhstan | Statista Market Forecast

Revenue in the Fresh Fruits market amounts to US$4.91bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 8.19% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated India (US$116bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$247.60 are generated in 2024.
In the Fresh Fruits market, volume is expected to amount to 2.23bn kg by 2029. The Fresh Fruits market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.9% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Fresh Fruits market is expected to amount to 94.0kg in 2024.

Definition:

The Fresh Fruits market covers all types of fresh fruit that haven't been canned, frozen, dehydrated, or preserved in any way. This market is divided into five submarkets: apples & pears, bananas, berries & grapes, citrus fruits, and other fresh fruits such as peaches, mangos, pineapples, plums, and kiwis.

Additional Information:

The market comprises revenue and average revenue per capita, volume and average volume per capita, price per unit (unit refers to kilogram), sales channels. The market encompasses retail sales through both online and offline sales channels to private end customers (B2C). The market only covers at-home consumption; out-of-home consumption is not included.

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Apples & pears
Bananas
Berries & grapes
Citrus fruits
Stone and exotic fruits

Processed, dried and frozen fruits
Nuts
Mix cut fruit boxes
Out-of-home consumption

The Fresh Fruits Market in Kazakhstan is witnessing subdued growth, influenced by factors such as fluctuating agricultural yields, changing consumer preferences, and competition from imported fruits, which challenge local producers and affect overall market dynamics.

Customer preferences: In Kazakhstan, the Fresh Fruits Market is experiencing a notable shift as consumers embrace healthier lifestyles and seek organic and locally sourced options. This trend is particularly prominent among younger demographics, who prioritize sustainability and nutritional value in their purchasing decisions. Additionally, cultural influences are driving interest in traditional fruits, leading to a resurgence in demand for indigenous varieties. As urbanization increases, convenience and accessibility are also becoming key factors, with consumers favoring online platforms for fresh fruit deliveries.

Trends in the market: In Kazakhstan, the Fresh Fruits Market is undergoing a significant transformation as health-conscious consumers increasingly favor organic and locally sourced produce. This shift is particularly evident among younger generations, who are driven by sustainability and nutritional benefits in their choices. Additionally, the resurgence of traditional fruits reflects a cultural revival, enhancing demand for indigenous varieties. As urban areas expand, convenience plays a crucial role, with a marked preference for online shopping and delivery services, presenting new opportunities and challenges for industry stakeholders in adapting their supply chains and marketing strategies.

Local special circumstances: In Kazakhstan, the Fresh Fruits Market is shaped by its diverse climate and rich agricultural heritage, which foster the cultivation of unique local varieties. The vast steppe regions allow for the growth of traditional fruits like apples and cherries, promoting a cultural connection to indigenous produce. Regulatory support for organic farming practices encourages sustainable agriculture. Additionally, the rising urban population, paired with a shift towards e-commerce, drives demand for convenient access to fresh fruits, thereby transforming distribution channels and consumer purchasing behaviors.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Fresh Fruits Market in Kazakhstan is influenced by several macroeconomic factors, including the country's overall economic health, agricultural policies, and global trade dynamics. As Kazakhstan aims to diversify its economy beyond oil and gas, investments in agricultural infrastructure and technology are increasing, enhancing productivity in fruit cultivation. Additionally, favorable fiscal policies that support farmers and promote organic farming practices contribute to market growth. Global demand for fresh fruits has led to increased export opportunities, while fluctuations in commodity prices and currency exchange rates impact domestic pricing and affordability for consumers. With a growing middle class, urbanization, and health-conscious consumer trends, the demand for fresh fruits is expected to rise, further shaping the market landscape.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

The fresh produce department is often counted as being one of the main determinants among consumers when selecting a grocery store. In 2022, the fruit and vegetable market in the U.S. was valued at over 5.8 billion U.S. dollars. In the same year, the sales of fresh fruit made up 45 percent of produce sales in the U.S., making it one of the most lucrative fresh food categories. In order to help drive sales, producers frequently launch in-store marketing campaigns. Ideas range from promoting the healthy benefits of fruit, to offering convenient, value-added snack-size options.