Bread & Cereal Products - New Zealand

  • New Zealand
  • Revenue in the Bread & Bakery Products market amounts to US$2.03bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 3.41% (CAGR 2024-2029).
  • In global comparison, most revenue is generated in China (US$278bn in 2024).
  • In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of US$385.20 are generated in 2024.
  • In the Bread & Bakery Products market, volume is expected to amount to 464.10m kg by 2029. The Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to show a volume growth of 2.3% in 2025.
  • The average volume per person in the Bread & Bakery Products market is expected to amount to 80.5kg in 2024.

Key regions: Philippines, United States, Canada, India, China

 
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Analyst Opinion

The Bread & Cereal Products Market in New Zealand is facing minimal growth, influenced by factors like consumer preferences for healthier alternatives, fluctuating prices of raw materials, and the increasing popularity of plant-based diets. This market is also impacted by the rise of e-commerce and online grocery shopping, providing convenience and variety to consumers. However, the slow growth rate may also be attributed to the saturation of the market and stiff competition among sub-markets.

Customer preferences:
Consumers in New Zealand are increasingly opting for gluten-free and organic bread and cereal products, driven by a growing health and wellness trend. This is further fueled by the rising awareness of sustainable and ethical food consumption, with consumers seeking out locally sourced and environmentally-friendly options. Additionally, there is a growing demand for convenient and portable breakfast options, leading to the popularity of on-the-go cereals and breakfast bars. This shift in consumer preferences is also influenced by the busy and fast-paced lifestyles of modern individuals.

Trends in the market:
In New Zealand, the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier options, driven by a growing health-conscious consumer base. This trend is reflected in the increasing availability of gluten-free, organic, and whole grain products. Additionally, there is a rising demand for convenience, leading to the introduction of portable and on-the-go breakfast options. These trends are significant as they cater to changing consumer preferences and have the potential to drive sales and innovation in the industry. However, it may also pose challenges for traditional manufacturers who may need to adapt to stay competitive.

Local special circumstances:
In New Zealand, the Bread & Cereal Products Market is influenced by the country's agriculture-driven economy and strong focus on sustainability. The market is also shaped by the cultural preference for whole grain and organic products. Additionally, government regulations promoting healthier food choices have led to the introduction of new products and ingredient substitutions. This unique combination of factors has resulted in a diverse and competitive market for bread and cereal products in New Zealand.

Underlying macroeconomic factors:
The Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market in New Zealand is influenced by a variety of macroeconomic factors. The performance of this market is impacted by global economic trends, as well as the economic health of the country itself. Fiscal policies, such as taxation and government spending, also play a significant role in shaping market conditions. Other relevant financial indicators, such as consumer spending and inflation rates, also impact the demand for bread and cereal products. Additionally, factors such as population growth, changing dietary preferences, and evolving consumer lifestyles can also influence market trends and demand for these products.

Methodology

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.

Overview

  • Revenue
  • Volume
  • Price
  • Sales Channels
  • Global Comparison
  • Analyst Opinion
  • Methodology
  • Key Market Indicators
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