Bread - Mexico | Statista Market Forecast

Bread - Mexico

Mexico

Highlights

Revenue in the Bread market amounts to €14.90bn in 2024. The market is expected to grow annually by 5.68% (CAGR 2024-2029).
In global comparison, most revenue is generated China (€74bn in 2024).
In relation to total population figures, per person revenues of €115.20 are generated in 2024.
In the Bread market, volume is expected to amount to 4.91bn kg by 2029. The Bread market is expected to show a volume growth of 4.2% in 2025.0.
The average volume per person in the Bread market is expected to amount to 34.0kg in 2024.

Key regions:

Market definitionIn-Scope/Out-of-scopeMarket structureMethodology

The Bread Market in Mexico is witnessing a slow growth rate influenced by factors such as changing consumer preferences and increasing health consciousness. Convenience and availability of online services are also impacting the market's growth.

Customer preferences: In Mexico, a growing trend in the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is the increasing demand for healthier options. As consumers become more health-conscious, there has been a rise in the consumption of gluten-free and organic bread. This shift is influenced by a greater awareness of the benefits of a balanced diet and the impact of food choices on overall well-being. Additionally, the rise of urbanization and busy lifestyles has led to a preference for convenient, on-the-go bread options, such as pre-packaged sandwiches and wraps.

Trends in the market: In Mexico, the Bread Market of the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market is experiencing a shift towards healthier bread options, such as whole grain and gluten-free varieties. This trend is driven by increasing health consciousness among consumers and a growing demand for clean label products. Additionally, there is a rise in artisanal bread and bakery products, reflecting a growing interest in traditional and authentic foods. These trends are expected to continue to shape the bread market in Mexico, presenting opportunities for industry players to innovate and cater to evolving consumer preferences.

Local special circumstances: In Mexico, the Bread Market is heavily influenced by the country's rich cultural heritage and traditional food preferences. Mexican bread, or pan, is known for its unique flavors and textures, with each region having its own specialty. Additionally, Mexico's geographical location allows for a variety of ingredients to be incorporated into bread-making, such as corn, beans, and chilies. The market is also shaped by government regulations, such as the mandatory fortification of wheat flour with iron and folic acid. These factors contribute to the diverse and dynamic nature of the Bread Market in Mexico, setting it apart from other markets in the Bread & Cereal Products Market within The Food market.

Underlying macroeconomic factors: The Bread Market in Mexico is heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the country's economic growth, consumer spending, and government policies. As Mexico's economy continues to grow, there is a rise in disposable income and consumer confidence, leading to an increase in demand for bread and cereal products. Additionally, the government's fiscal policies, such as import tariffs and subsidies, can significantly impact the market. Other relevant financial indicators, such as inflation rates and exchange rates, also play a crucial role in determining the performance of the Bread Market in Mexico. Furthermore, global economic trends, such as the shift towards healthier diets, can also influence consumer preferences and drive the demand for whole grain and organic bread products.

Data coverage:

The data encompasses B2C enterprises. Figures are based on the total consumer spending on food, which comprises all private household spending on food that is meant for at-home consumption (out-of-home consumption is not accounted for).

Modeling approach:

Market sizes are determined through a top-down approach, building on specific predefined factors for each market segment. As a basis for evaluating markets, we use resources from the Statista platform as well as in-house market research, national statistical offices, international institutions, trade associations, companies, the trade press, and the experience of our analysts. In addition, we use relevant key market indicators and data from country-specific associations, such as GDP, consumer spending, and consumer price index. This data helps us estimate the market size for each country individually.

Forecasts:

In our forecasts, we apply diverse forecasting techniques. The selection of forecasting techniques is based on the behavior of the relevant market. For example, the exponential trend smoothing is well suited for forecasting the Food market with a projected steady growth. The main drivers are GDP per capita and consumer spending per capita.

Additional notes:

The data is modeled using current exchange rates. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war are considered at a country-specific level. The market is updated twice a year.